Happy age 65 day!
12-13-2012, 09:00 AM
#1
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Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 161
Happy age 65 day!
Well to be honest I can't remember if it was today or yesterday, but I sure am glad these 5 yrs are gone! Hopefully we can get our careers back on some kind of better track. THE REGIONALS SUCK! I can't wait to get out!
12-13-2012, 11:05 AM
#4
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In other news, all majors have announced the parking of all planes over 12 years old and being replaced with double size and half frequency. No change to national capacity expected.... No hiring planned for at least another 5 years.... 
12-14-2012, 10:19 AM
#6
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Ha- sounds like it! I hope everyone has enough Cessna 152 time, since that's all that you'll need coming up, right? (be sure to circle the airfields with the hood on to build that great instrument scan though, please people)
12-14-2012, 10:30 AM
#7
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your logic escapes me regarding the 5 years are here. not that you will have a large exodus, but the trickle that would have happened 5 years earlier.
Most mainlines will start to replace small narrow body aircraft with larger narrow body. Capacity stays the same, frequency drops. Same amount of passengers at half the pilot requirement. Same thing that is happening at regionals. Replacing as many 50 or less seat jets with larger 70-76 seat jets. Same capacity for passengers at half the pilot requirement.
if this was not true, mainlines would have started to hire larger amount of pilots rather than for just retirement replacement. stagnation will be upon us in 3 years again.
just a thought.
Most mainlines will start to replace small narrow body aircraft with larger narrow body. Capacity stays the same, frequency drops. Same amount of passengers at half the pilot requirement. Same thing that is happening at regionals. Replacing as many 50 or less seat jets with larger 70-76 seat jets. Same capacity for passengers at half the pilot requirement.
if this was not true, mainlines would have started to hire larger amount of pilots rather than for just retirement replacement. stagnation will be upon us in 3 years again.
just a thought.
12-14-2012, 10:37 AM
#8
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I had a hypothesis a while ago that a high percentage of 60+'ers would start losing their medicals before even reaching 65 thus mitigating the (however slight) trickle the 65 rule caused 5 years ago- anybody seen it happen from personal experience on the line? (diabetes, blood pressure, etc)
12-14-2012, 02:24 PM
#9
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Originally Posted by cactipilot
I had a hypothesis a while ago that a high percentage of 60+'ers would start losing their medicals before even reaching 65 thus mitigating the (however slight) trickle the 65 rule caused 5 years ago- anybody seen it happen from personal experience on the line? (diabetes, blood pressure, etc)
12-14-2012, 06:07 PM
#10
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I asked the ALPA Drs. this fall if they had noticed a surge in medical issues as the aging progressed and they said "no." Basically if most people made it to 60, they were probably going to make it to 65
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