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Republic Airways Regional Airline

Reduced Flying

Old 03-08-2020, 01:06 PM
  #11  
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Originally Posted by Burt123 View Post
Apparently you weren’t around during the other viral freak-outs. Did I miss the furloughs at those times?
What other viral “freak-outs” resulted in a 10% reduction of domestic flying? What other viral “freak-outs” resulted in this level of mass hysteria? What other viral “freak-outs” resulted in the largest drop in bookings/reservations since 9/11? You seem somewhat oblivious as to what is actually happening.
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Old 03-08-2020, 03:31 PM
  #12  
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So lets say hypothetically furlough do happen for some reason how would it work? Straight off the bottom seniority, with Jr. CAs going back to FOs with FO pay?
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Old 03-08-2020, 06:25 PM
  #13  
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Originally Posted by LoneStar32 View Post
So lets say hypothetically furlough do happen for some reason how would it work? Straight off the bottom seniority, with Jr. CAs going back to FOs with FO pay?
There is really no point in talking about it because it WON’T happen. That is a bold statement that I would normally never make, but the numbers speak for themselves...

Feb 2020 block hours vs 2019

AA 28,459 (2020) vs 26,116 (2019)... 8.9% increase YOY
DL 15,152 (2020) vs 10,197 (2019)... 48.59% increase YOY
UA 21,730 (2020) vs 20,538 (2019)... 5.8% increase YOY
Total 65,341 (2020) vs 56,851 (2019)... +8,490 Hr or a 14.93% Increase for Feb 2020 vs Feb 2019.

So we have seen a total of a 5% decrease to United... We are still .8% higher than last year using Feb numbers which is a slow month typically. Even if we lost some DL and AA block hours, the additional DL frames will still drive the DL side up overall. What we will see is a drop in aircraft useage compared to what we have been averaging the last year. I’m ok with that.

***To put this into perspective, our seniority list has grown by 42 people since February 2019. We have added 17 aircraft to the fleet and have increased block hours by at least 8,500hrs. Our staffing levels have been stretched thin because of this. All this reduction has given us is less opportunity for 200% flying and the ability to go back to actually adjusting our schedules like we could in early 2019.***

Our CEO has specifically said they are not canceling or throttling back hiring at all. It's still full steam ahead because we still have 13 planes that will need to be staffed between now and July. We also have to start hiring for new deliveries next year unless those are replacement planes, which I doubt they are.
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Old 03-09-2020, 05:55 AM
  #14  
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Originally Posted by Tpinks View Post
There is really no point in talking about it because it WON’T happen. That is a bold statement that I would normally never make, but the numbers speak for themselves...

Feb 2020 block hours vs 2019

AA 28,459 (2020) vs 26,116 (2019)... 8.9% increase YOY
DL 15,152 (2020) vs 10,197 (2019)... 48.59% increase YOY
UA 21,730 (2020) vs 20,538 (2019)... 5.8% increase YOY
Total 65,341 (2020) vs 56,851 (2019)... +8,490 Hr or a 14.93% Increase for Feb 2020 vs Feb 2019.

So we have seen a total of a 5% decrease to United... We are still .8% higher than last year using Feb numbers which is a slow month typically. Even if we lost some DL and AA block hours, the additional DL frames will still drive the DL side up overall. What we will see is a drop in aircraft useage compared to what we have been averaging the last year. I’m ok with that.

***To put this into perspective, our seniority list has grown by 42 people since February 2019. We have added 17 aircraft to the fleet and have increased block hours by at least 8,500hrs. Our staffing levels have been stretched thin because of this. All this reduction has given us is less opportunity for 200% flying and the ability to go back to actually adjusting our schedules like we could in early 2019.***

Our CEO has specifically said they are not canceling or throttling back hiring at all. It's still full steam ahead because we still have 13 planes that will need to be staffed between now and July. We also have to start hiring for new deliveries next year unless those are replacement planes, which I doubt they are.
Bold statement. You see the market this morning?
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Old 03-09-2020, 06:17 AM
  #15  
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Originally Posted by KCaviator View Post
Bold statement. You see the market this morning?
Largely driven by Aramco’s announcement that it will increase production and drive oil prices down. Price of a barrel of crude dropped by 30% on the announcement. Sounds like just what the airlines need to offset reduced loads.
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Old 03-09-2020, 01:09 PM
  #16  
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Originally Posted by KCaviator View Post
Bold statement. You see the market this morning?
The market will be back to where it was or at least start trending up again once cases plateau, which will happen. The change in CDC procedures in testing for COVID 19 will cause an increase in cases then plateau as everything stabilizes. This has been reported, but not nearly as widely reported as the fear mongering that generates clicks and views.

Yes this has a higher mortality and infectious rate than other strains of the cornavirus, but for a smaller demographic.
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Old 03-09-2020, 01:52 PM
  #17  
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Originally Posted by KCaviator View Post
Bold statement. You see the market this morning?
the market is a terrible indicator of what was happening with economy as it can be up one day or down the next. Instead how about take a look at the GDP because that is going to tell you where the economy is at and where it is headed.

Two, the market crashed due to Saudi’s Arabia deciding to flood the market with cheap oil causing a massive shock for investors...
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Old 03-10-2020, 05:14 AM
  #18  
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DL reducing domestic flying by 10-15%
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Old 03-10-2020, 06:06 AM
  #19  
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AAL reduced by 7.5 percent. Maybe trips will go green for drop this summer.
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Old 03-10-2020, 07:22 AM
  #20  
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Originally Posted by Upntheair27 View Post
AAL reduced by 7.5 percent. Maybe trips will go green for drop this summer.
Hahahaha that’s a good one
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