Quote:
Originally Posted by PilotBases
I don't think it's over, but the hiring and movement of 2020-23 isn't the rule but the exception. Someone hired before COVID hit is easily 60-something percent at all 3 legacies. That level of movement will be hard to ever beat. Plug at DL tomorrow is 17,000, last pre COVID hire around 11,000. 2036 for that plug to hit #11k, at pure-65 retirements.
Sure. I'm just saying, hiring numbers over the next decade appear pretty staggering.
Retirements alone ~20k
3% growth ~1800 pilots per year across the big four
There's not enough pilots in the 121 world to cover that attrition/growth. Will we ever get there? No clue. But everyone should feel pretty good about how things are going.
Even delta who some say "you'll never crack 50%" at, you could retire top 10% if you got hired today at 32. It won't be the rocketships UA/AA are undergoing these next few years but it doesn't have to be for you to have an above-average career. Every time things even slow down an inch, people will claim it's over. Things are going to be rolling (in general, there will always be short term dips) for the foreseeable future, crystal ball caveats apply.
Yesterday