Not happening till it does happen. The big bonus money is actually attracting much higher quality applicants. This straight from someone who does interviews. They also have 26k reasons to pass ioe. You'll begin seeing less washouts. If 40 a month get through and a dozen flat out quit, you're still up.

How is Republic going to grow in the future all 175 carrier and every major scoped out. Awac has the cash to buy more planes within scope limits and high bonus will attract the crews.

Except you missed the point. It's not currently happening and won't happen for anyone hired this month or even in the next few months. There's 250+ FO's ahead of everyone hired now. A lot going on 3+ years as an FO.

They are going to fly their -200s until the wings fall off and find a company in some middle of nowhere town to put new ones back on and sign the plane off for another decade.

Fact is some will likely get lucky enough to be hired and upgrade in or around the 18 to 24 month mark. Just cause it's been stagnant for the past 2 years doesn't mean that trend will continue.

Piedmont went from 8 year upgrade to 5 to 2 to street captains in the span of a year. AWAC is a famously good place to work for, and I'd go there twice before anyone else (at the regional level) if I wasn't at a wholly owned.

Union projections concur with this mostly. Our attrition (except for last month) is very high. I think a new hire could expect roughly a 7-8 year flow. Or they can upgrade here in less than a year (if they have the required times) and apply everywhere else they want and get to a legacy a lot faster. In the meantime pilots can enjoy every holiday and important family event off and build their schedule any way they want.

What is the normal monthly attrition?

It varies month by month...

In 2016 we lost a little over 220 total pilots from our seniority list. And we lost over 100 active pilots from the seniority list. Active pilots are those who actively bid and fly lines. That was when we were about a 1,000 pilot airline. So roughly 20% turnover in a year.

2017 looks to be about the same if not a little more. So we do hire about 40-50 /month but the high attrition PSA experiences leads to fairly rapid movement up the seniority list.

Do not come here. I will repeat, DO NOT COME HERE. At every turn the company will do the right thing by them, and only what benefits them the most. You, your family, your sanity will not be taken into consideration what so ever. They will lie, 18-24month upgrades, maybe in a fantasy world. ORF is closing.

We have no real future to offer you here. Do yourself a favor, do not even consider AWAC. Go anywhere else. You will never upgrade in ORD. This means any midwest individual that is applying here thinking they will commute to ORD for 2 years and then upgrade will quickly figure out they will commute to ORD for 3-4 years then possibly upgrade to IAD. This place is a 3rd rate clown show, and an embarrassment compared to what they used to be and still claim to be.