I find it quite interesting that ALPA represented carriers (and the pilot groups of these carriers) continue wasting time year after year in contract negotiations when nothing happens, while their Employeer (Airline) keeps dragging things out.
ASA: 5+ Years (Nothing to date)
Astar Air Cargo: 3 1/2 years (Nothing to date)
Trans States: 1 1/2 years (Nothing to date)
ComAir: 3+ years (back in 1999 received a deal LESS than what they were looking for after an 89 day strike)
MESA: What is their timeline going to be (3-4 years??)
The problem is, that the longer things take to negotiate, the more things are forgotten and the more things the pilot group becomes numb too. (Not management though) Thus, the pilot group will finally acquiesce for a pittance of what they originally were looking for because management can hold out longer when it comes to spending money. ( As a matter of fact, we all can hold out when it comes to spending more money for what we are getting now for less).
In addition, during LONG drawn out negotiations, the financial picture of the airline can change dramatically and even drastically. If an airline is successful and profitable, it is in their BEST interest to drag out negotiations until a down turn in business is foreseen, when they can say, "SEE" this is what we have Pilot Group, we really are not making money . . . so you better take this deal or none at all. The nature of the industry changes and so do the expectations of the pilot group.
There is no way negotiations should take more than 6 months. If they take longer than that, I believe a strike should be in order. It's best to strike when the company IS making money, because management's bonuses, profit sharing, salary, et el are tied into their salary.
In addition, the Airline when it's making money DOES have a way to avoid a potential loss of business. They will throw money at the problem. (The problem being, Pilot's Striking). This action by the airlines will diffuse the onset of a potential calamity in the short term.
When a company is in the financial doldrums, it is the worst time to strike because there IS no money to pay for increased salaries. Many times it is just easier for an airline (any business for that matter) to close its doors vs. deal with a union group that wants increased pay, QOL, better benefits, etc.