Quote:
Originally Posted by ShyGuy
A Swissair crew tried that, it didn't go well.
Can a 747 not land overweight?
Cargo fires in a 747 usually haven't ended well. South African 747 combi, Asiana cargo 747, UPS 747, all ended up in fatal crashes. Although a fully pax jet is a different story than a freighter, does the pax airline carry hazmat? Is it loaded in that cargo bin? There are too many questions to just assume there's no fire. And if your gauge for measuring is cabin crew finding smoke or fire in the cabin, from a fire source originating in the cargo bin, by then you are already in serious trouble.
There's a big difference between landing an A320 overweight and an overweight 747-400.
I don't know which model aircraft this was, so we'll just be using generic Boeing numbers of MTOW of 910,000# and MLW of 652,000#. Right there there's a difference of 258,000#.
Assuming the aircraft took off near max takeoff weight and flew for less than two hours, burning 25,000pph, that still leaves an additional 200,000 that needed to be dealt with before a safe landing could be made. All of it in the form of highly flammable liquid, which tends to get messy when getting spread out on a runway at 140 knots due to ruptured fuel lines and broken wings and whatnot.
Boeing builds them good, but not 200,000 additional pounds good.
Which is why the Whale has fuel dump valves and Fifi does not. You can pop an engine on Fifi at MTOW, turn around and land overweight; it's just a logbook entry (plus associated maintenance inspections.)
You try that stunt on a widebody and people will die. Ever try to evacuate an airplane when it's surrounded by burning jet fuel?
You mentioned a list of cargo fire incidents, pointing out that they all ended poorly, and you're correct they did. But they all had one glaring difference to this particular Delta flight; they all had
indication of fire followed by
confirmation of fire.
The Delta flight only had
indication of fire. At this time there is no evidence to support a theory that there was actual smoke, heat or associated other smells that would
confirm the fire indication.
It's not a question of simply "assuming" that there's no fire. Fire produces heat and smoke, and lots of it. If there
had been a fire both would have been present in the cabin (and flight deck) and the aircraft would have diverted for an immediate landing. (This was a U.S. trained crew after all; had it been an Asian crew then all bets are off.)
Since we don't know what the actual weights were for takeoff, it's safe to assume that this particular flight was anywhere between 100,000 to 200,000 pounds over max landing weight during the incident.
It appears the captain did exactly the right thing delaying the landing, as there was no confirmation of fire, at any time. Had just one of the flight attendants smelled smoke or felt heat, or the flight crew detected smoke in the cockpit, the captain would have risked an overweight landing no doubt. But by getting no positive confirmation of fire, he did the right thing and prevented a potential landing catastrophe.
As for your last comment,
Quote:
Originally Posted by ShyGuy
And if your gauge for measuring is cabin crew finding smoke or fire in the cabin, from a fire source originating in the cargo bin, by then you are already in serious trouble.
That my friend, is called effective use of CRM. Using
all available resources to make a decision, not just a flashing light in the cockpit.