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Old 01-20-2020, 08:23 AM
  #1  
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When is the domicile vacancy report supposed to come out?
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Old 01-20-2020, 08:46 AM
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Any time now I'd presume. With the bids being processed the middle of next week.
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Old 01-21-2020, 12:30 PM
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Keep in mind the DVR is often highly inaccurate because it doesn't and can't predict pilots retiring or transferring to different bases. So you might see zero vacancies in Base A and 10 vacancies in Base B, but if 10 guys from Base A want to transfer to B, the reality will be exactly opposite to what the DVR shows...
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Old 01-21-2020, 01:38 PM
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So you are saying it is accurate for those looking to transfer?
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Old 01-21-2020, 03:47 PM
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He's saying it's only semi accurate for the senior bases.
say Seattle shows 2 E175 captain slots. Boise shows 1, MSP 15 LGA 0. For the sake of showing how it snowballs we'll assume No CRJ captains listed on the DVR.
2 BOI captains move to SEA, so BOI now gets 3 slots. 2 are transfers from MSP E175 and 1 a Transition from DTW CRJ captain.now MSP needs 17 e175 captains, 10 are transfers from LGA and 5 transition MSP CRJ captain , 2 DTW CRJ captain.
so now we need 10 E175 upgrades to LGA instead of the 0 advertised. we upgrade 5 CRJ into MSP, and 3 DTW captain upgrades.
Realize that the original SEA is probably wrong anyway, so it's a total crapshoot. Bid want you want and put other plans in if you're willing to commute.
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Old 01-21-2020, 06:32 PM
  #6  
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Originally Posted by Turbosina View Post
Keep in mind the DVR is often highly inaccurate because it doesn't and can't predict pilots retiring or transferring to different bases. So you might see zero vacancies in Base A and 10 vacancies in Base B, but if 10 guys from Base A want to transfer to B, the reality will be exactly opposite to what the DVR shows...
Perfect example here. I was sitting comfortably in DTW for a while, only had PHX on my bid. At the end of November, it had...either 1 or 0 on the DVR for FOs, and had only been letting a couple in per month, if that. Then early December, I get the email that my PHX bid was approved for January. I was one of 10 first officers that got transferred in. Of course this is an outlier, because only a couple got in for February. But yeah, the DVR is not really reliable. I guess if you see a huge number, then you can hedge your bets (like over the summer when places like DEN had 20+ on the DVR), otherwise it's not really a good indicator of anything.
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Old 01-21-2020, 07:09 PM
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It is called backfill.

Transfer out and upgrade those slots need to be backfilled. And sometimes they overdo it. But where is the complaint? You get the transfer even though you didn’t expect it? Where is the harm in that. Want a specific date / month / class? Put in a before / after bid.
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Old 01-22-2020, 11:30 AM
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The DVR is hard to guess. But one thing is for sure. Tons of movement.. 56 CRJ CA positions open plus 36 ERJ CA positions. Thats just the known vacancy's . Then there is the back fill... Im predicting NH captains again...
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Old 01-25-2020, 03:00 PM
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[QUOTE=amcnd;2961947]The DVR is hard to guess. But one thing is for sure. Tons of movement.. 56 CRJ CA positions open plus 36 ERJ CA positions. Thats just the known vacancy's . Then there is the back fill... Im predicting NH captains again...

scary stuff
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Old 01-25-2020, 05:10 PM
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[QUOTE=domino;2964236]
Originally Posted by amcnd View Post
The DVR is hard to guess. But one thing is for sure. Tons of movement.. 56 CRJ CA positions open plus 36 ERJ CA positions. Thats just the known vacancy's . Then there is the back fill... Im predicting NH captains again...

scary stuff
guys/gals from other airlines do good. Better with CRJ time...
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