CQ Before Furlough?
06-09-2020, 03:40 PM
#11
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
Originally Posted by domino
Loads picking up by 1.5% per week.
Originally Posted by domino
But we will also be substantially smaller going forward.
06-09-2020, 08:47 PM
#12
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 186
Originally Posted by bradthepilot
Do you have a source for this data? If so, I'd be interested in seeing it as it doesn't really match up with data from other sources.
Is this a result of your own analysis? It doesn't agree with what the company leadership presented in their conference call, and they have punitive consequences for misleading investors.
Is this a result of your own analysis? It doesn't agree with what the company leadership presented in their conference call, and they have punitive consequences for misleading investors.
No one has any idea how the recovery will go. Anyone who says differently is pulling it out of their ass.
06-10-2020, 05:35 AM
#13
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
Originally Posted by dremaldent
The load is currently increasing by 3% a week and the rate is increasing.
No one has any idea how the recovery will go. Anyone who says differently is pulling it out of their ass.
No one has any idea how the recovery will go. Anyone who says differently is pulling it out of their ass.
06-10-2020, 07:17 AM
#14
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 39,211
Originally Posted by dremaldent
The load is currently increasing by 3% a week and the rate is increasing.
No one has any idea how the recovery will go. Anyone who says differently is pulling it out of their ass.
No one has any idea how the recovery will go. Anyone who says differently is pulling it out of their ass.
We also know it's going to plateau out at some level lower than pre-COVID. There are way to many variables, many of which are unknowable right now (2nd. wave, vaccine timing?)
There is no way to extrapolate short-term TSA numbers to where we will be in Dec or next summer (which is what our jobs are going to depend).
Even the big airlines (employing expensive economic analysts) don't agree on where this is all headed (DL/UA racing to cut capacity, SWA planning on eating their lunch, AA going all-in for a strong recovery).
If you want to analyze something with predictive value, track the progress of the various vaccine candidates.
06-10-2020, 07:29 AM
#16
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2016
Posts: 417
[QUOTE=dremaldent;3073150]TSA. Literally raw data.
https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/pass...put[/QUOTE]
Ah. I thought you meant SKW loads, which cannot be determined from TSA data.
https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/pass...put[/QUOTE]
Ah. I thought you meant SKW loads, which cannot be determined from TSA data.
06-10-2020, 06:13 PM
#19
Line Holder
Joined APC: Apr 2018
Posts: 78
Originally Posted by mkitrn
Where are y’all getting 2-3% from this weeks tsa numbers it’s an increase of 20-30% from the week before?
06-10-2020, 06:44 PM
#20
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Posts: 880
Originally Posted by Username here
I believe they’re referring to the percentage in relation to last year‘s total TSA numbers for the same day. Currently we are sitting about 15% in relation to last year‘s numbers at this time.
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