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-   -   Okay guys, what’s the plan? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/spirit/146596-okay-guys-whatis-plan.html)

Halon1211 03-08-2024 05:11 PM

Okay guys, what’s the plan?
 

Analyst keeps saying we are heading towards bankruptcy and bond holders are already plotting how they going to take our assets. TC says we are fine and even testified under oath that we are NOT a “failing firm”. This is a nail bitter…I’m on the edge of my seat to see the rabbit that Spirit is about to pull out of their hat. It seems like we are up a creek without a paddle yet all is well. What magic trick is Spirit about to perform. And how does Spirit go from here?



https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-s...152035207.html

“No merger and a perilous balance sheet“

checkgear 03-08-2024 05:17 PM

Still waiting on a class date?

Halon1211 03-08-2024 05:40 PM


Originally Posted by checkgear (Post 3779308)
Still waiting on a class date?

still waiting to hear back.

at the rate this is going, I’ll be on the streets waiting for a class date.

Wk067781 03-08-2024 06:23 PM

get bondholders their money, you get nothing

putzin 03-08-2024 06:28 PM


Originally Posted by Halon1211 (Post 3779305)

Analyst keeps saying we are heading towards bankruptcy and bond holders are already plotting how they going to take our assets. TC says we are fine and even testified under oath that we are NOT a “failing firm”. This is a nail bitter…I’m on the edge of my seat to see the rabbit that Spirit is about to pull out of their hat. It seems like we are up a creek without a paddle yet all is well. What magic trick is Spirit about to perform. And how does Spirit go from here?



https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-s...152035207.html

“No merger and a perilous balance sheet“

Homedepot or Lowes? 😜

Wk067781 03-08-2024 06:54 PM

Wendy's dumpster

Irishblackbird 03-08-2024 07:01 PM


Originally Posted by putzin (Post 3779335)
Threre isn't enough for them either, hence why they're all worried. It keeps moving along in hopes Teddy can dig it out is about their only choice. The airline hasn't been run for 2 years and were along for the ride. People need to stop worrying.

Well Ted and Co did a superficial stock purchase yesterday. Problem is that was their "tell". It was such a miniscule purchase that none of them would be hurt if we liquidate. It's a nervous bluff in my book, not any real confidence in the "supposed" plan. Or they would have been all in.

Sorry for the lousy metaphor.

Tranquility 03-08-2024 07:02 PM

Buy more bitcoin, smoke more dope, bang more hookers. That's my plan. (Not necessarily in that order....)

Wait, was it bang more bitcoin, smoke more hookers, and buy more dope? 🤔

Halon1211 03-08-2024 07:11 PM


Originally Posted by Tranquility (Post 3779348)
Buy more bitcoin, smoke more dope, bang more hookers. That's my plan. (Not necessarily in that order....)

Wait, was it bang more bitcoin, smoke more hookers, and buy more dope? 🤔

Wife, SEC, and FAA entered the chat.

and they all want in on the action.

putzin 03-08-2024 07:43 PM


Originally Posted by Irishblackbird (Post 3779347)
Well Ted and Co did a superficial stock purchase yesterday. Problem is that was their "tell". It was such a miniscule purchase that none of them would be hurt if we liquidate. It's a nervous bluff in my book, not any real confidence in the "supposed" plan. Or they would have been all in.

Sorry for the lousy metaphor.

Bought more or issued more? I ask because last time eveyone talked about how they sold stock and the conspiracy that went with the supposed sale. Honestly your theory is ridiculous.

There is no way to plan for doors shutting, you'll never know the timeline. You'll show up one day and there will be a chain on the door. That's how it works.

Flika 03-08-2024 07:47 PM

My 2 pennies:

In tough situtations I put myself in the situation of the descision makers. If i'm TC, I don't want to be the first major airline to furlough since COVID. He likely knows that is what he will be remembered for, so he will do whatever it takes to be a profitable, standalone airline. Will we become that? That remains to be seen. It will likley come down to the debt holders, if they're willing to renegotiate, and in my opinion, it's becoming more likely with the boeing/UAL/SWA struggles as of late.

Flika 03-08-2024 07:51 PM


Originally Posted by Irishblackbird (Post 3779347)
Well Ted and Co did a superficial stock purchase yesterday. Problem is that was their "tell". It was such a miniscule purchase that none of them would be hurt if we liquidate. It's a nervous bluff in my book, not any real confidence in the "supposed" plan. Or they would have been all in.

Sorry for the lousy metaphor.

C-suite people just can't purchase and sell stock day of, their purchases and sales are made probably weeks in advance. To say none of them would be hurt if we liquidate is nonsense. many of the C-suite hold 100,000+ of shares, most of which was accumlated well before the merger was denied.

putzin 03-08-2024 08:09 PM


Originally Posted by Flika (Post 3779365)
My 2 pennies:

In tough situtations I put myself in the situation of the descision makers. If i'm TC, I don't want to be the first airline to furlough since COVID. He likely knows that is what he will be remembered for, so he will do whatever it takes to be a profitable, standalone airline. Will we become that? That remains to be seen. It will likley come down to the debt holders, if they're willing to renegotiate, and in my opinion, it's becoming more likely with the boeing/UAL/SWA struggles as of late.

Both of your posts are spot on, there is so much out there that is complete nonsense. Not a single paycheck has bounced, plane repossessed, airplane not fueled but we're hours from shutting down? People need to get a grip.

DrSteveBrule 03-08-2024 08:31 PM

You're nuts if you are not worried.

putzin 03-09-2024 03:38 AM


Originally Posted by DrSteveBrule (Post 3779370)
You're nuts if you are not worried.

What will that accomplish? Did I say we won't file either 11 or 7? All I'm implying is it's not happening tomorrow and there is plenty of time to find a job. The places that are pausing at this time are for deliveries, not because "the music has stopped" though we may have peaked. Things never change over night nor will this. The big IF is can Ted dig it out.

StoneQOLdCrazy 03-09-2024 04:15 AM


Originally Posted by putzin (Post 3779399)
The big IF is can Ted dig it out.

Well, over the past copule of years, he hasn't been able to earn a profit it in the most robust and lucrative liesure air travel environment ever. And that was before the GTF issue.

The question is, why would he be able to "dig it out" now, when that boom is cooling (althought business travel seems to be trickling back) and there are much more significant issues to contend with?

I don't think anyone except maybe jetblue wants spirit to declare BK and de-stabilize the industry. But the writing is on the wall, unfortunately. And as always, through no fault of the pilots.

VacancyBid 03-09-2024 04:46 AM


Originally Posted by Flika (Post 3779366)
To say none of them would be hurt if we liquidate is nonsense..

It is nonsense and he didn't say that.

He said that losing the stock _they bought that day_ wouldn't hurt them. The purchases in question
  • Rocky Wiggins, SVP and chief information officer, acquired 1,248 shares, spending USD7,188.48;
  • Edward M. Christie, president and CEO, acquired 2,252 shares, spending USD12,971.52;
  • Matthew Klein, EVP and CCO, acquired 3,277 shares, spending USD18,875.52;
  • Scott Haralson, EVP and chief financial officer, acquired 1,011 shares, spending USD5,828.36;
  • John A. Bendoraitis, EVP and chief operating officer, acquired 2,821 shares, spending USD13,138.56;
  • Kevin Blake Vanier, VP finance and strategy, acquired 1,058 shares, spending USD6,094.08;
  • Brian J. McMenamy, VP and chief accounting officer, acquired 131 shares, spending USD745.56; and
  • Thomas C. Canfield, SVP general counsel and secretary, acquired 967 shares, spending USD5,569.92.

I got this from an article with the headline "c-levels-at-uss-spirit-airlines-go-on-stock-shopping-spree"

It looks like a token investment ($70K between 8 execs) meant to generate rosy headlines. It doesn't shout confidence in a turnaround / buy the dip.

putzin 03-09-2024 04:47 AM


Originally Posted by StoneQOLdCrazy (Post 3779403)
Well, over the past copule of years, he hasn't been able to earn a profit it in the most robust and lucrative liesure air travel environment ever. And that was before the GTF issue.

The question is, why would he be able to "dig it out" now, when that boom is cooling (althought business travel seems to be trickling back) and there are much more significant issues to contend with?

I don't think anyone except maybe jetblue wants spirit to declare BK and de-stabilize the industry. But the writing is on the wall, unfortunately. And as always, through no fault of the pilots.

Lets come back to this in 3-6 months I'm not interested in circles. I will ask why you think or how one BK destabilizes the rest of an industry that is doing 'fine'? Well except maybe Frontier, I could see our BK hurting them. Interesting theory.

I'll leave it at this, BK isn't the end of the world.

putzin 03-09-2024 05:10 AM


Originally Posted by VacancyBid (Post 3779409)
It is nonsense and he didn't say that.

He said that losing the stock _they bought that day_ wouldn't hurt them. The purchases in question
  • Rocky Wiggins, SVP and chief information officer, acquired 1,248 shares, spending USD7,188.48;
  • Edward M. Christie, president and CEO, acquired 2,252 shares, spending USD12,971.52;
  • Matthew Klein, EVP and CCO, acquired 3,277 shares, spending USD18,875.52;
  • Scott Haralson, EVP and chief financial officer, acquired 1,011 shares, spending USD5,828.36;
  • John A. Bendoraitis, EVP and chief operating officer, acquired 2,821 shares, spending USD13,138.56;
  • Kevin Blake Vanier, VP finance and strategy, acquired 1,058 shares, spending USD6,094.08;
  • Brian J. McMenamy, VP and chief accounting officer, acquired 131 shares, spending USD745.56; and
  • Thomas C. Canfield, SVP general counsel and secretary, acquired 967 shares, spending USD5,569.92.

I got this from an article with the headline "c-levels-at-uss-spirit-airlines-go-on-stock-shopping-spree"

It looks like a token investment ($70K between 8 execs) meant to generate rosy headlines. It doesn't shout confidence in a turnaround / buy the dip.

Offs, nobody, well except dumbass pilots, buys the dip on a company heading towards bankruptcy, especially C level execs! They didnt become multi-millionaires by being stupid. And I suppose you're subscribing to the theory Jblu spent 500 million on a merger they didn't think would happen so they could hurt a competitor that doesn't directly compete with them? You know because that's fiscally responsible. 🙄

Noisecanceller 03-09-2024 05:20 AM


Originally Posted by Flika (Post 3779365)
My 2 pennies:

In tough situtations I put myself in the situation of the descision makers. If i'm TC, I don't want to be the first major airline to furlough since COVID. He likely knows that is what he will be remembered for, so he will do whatever it takes to be a profitable, standalone airline. Will we become that? That remains to be seen. It will likley come down to the debt holders, if they're willing to renegotiate, and in my opinion, it's becoming more likely with the boeing/UAL/SWA struggles as of late.

Remembered for? He’s already remembered for Pinnacle, Mesaba, Colgan. The other guy is already remembered for Northwest. I don’t think they care how history views them. They aren’t major players

CatPilot1 03-09-2024 05:32 AM


Originally Posted by Noisecanceller (Post 3779415)
Remembered for? He’s already remembered for Pinnacle, Mesaba, Colgan. The other guy is already remembered for Northwest. I don’t think they care how history views them. They aren’t major players

If bankruptcy was right around the corner these two would be shown the door already, but they’re still here. Can someone explain this.

StoneQOLdCrazy 03-09-2024 05:35 AM


Originally Posted by putzin (Post 3779410)
. I will ask why you think or how one BK destabilizes the rest of an industry that is doing 'fine'?

When one player is permitted to shed debt from lenders/vendors, and artificially reset labor costs to below-market rates...and other players are not availed of those tools...that is quite destabilizing.

Any narrative silmilar to "BK won't be that bad" is wishful thinking at best, and cynical dissembling at worst.

JulesWinfield 03-09-2024 06:00 AM

I heard Christie is out and Bendo is the stepping up.

From and insider:Barging through the door unannounced came Bill Bendo, Ted's ambitious COO and longtime rival. With a smug grin, Bendo plopped a report on Ted's mahogany desk.

"Hate to be the bearer of bad news, but Q4 numbers are uglier than a Spirit passenger who just learned about our bag fees," Bendo quipped. "The board is concerned, Ted. Very concerned."

Ted clenched his jaw. He knew exactly what Bendo was angling for - his job.

"I've kept this airline flying through a pandemic, soaring fuel costs, and PR disasters. We'll bounce back," Ted retorted.

CatPilot1 03-09-2024 06:19 AM

https://www.flightglobal.com/airline...157316.article

If these people can find money, I’m pretty sure Ted can too.

Born2FlyAv8R 03-09-2024 06:22 AM


Originally Posted by putzin (Post 3779369)
Both of your posts are spot on, there is so much out there that is complete nonsense. Not a single paycheck has bounced, plane repossessed, airplane not fueled but we're hours from shutting down? People need to get a grip.

I’m with you on this, I am just amazed at peoples “definitive” responses which cannot even be called educated guesses. Some of whom left years ago but still come in here and post their negative rhetoric. News flash - if you were this good at predicting the future, you wouldn’t be here as a pilot would you? The “writing” is not on the wall, the show hasn’t stopped, it not all but over, those of us who are not worried, are not nuts. I don’t care how much money I make, as a CEO, if I thought the company were heading towards immediate BK, I wouldn’t spent 13k on the stock. I think it’s a good sign. The headline tomorrow could be “spirit shows record profits in 2024 Q1 reports, and many of you would still find negativity. If this is how a lot of you lead your daily lives, by worrying about everything and being nothing but negative, I have pity for you. Worrying does nothing but cause stress, and stress does nothing but take time away from you life. Now I’ll sit back and wait for the heckles.

StoneQOLdCrazy 03-09-2024 06:26 AM


Originally Posted by Born2FlyAv8R (Post 3779441)
I don’t care how much money I make, as a CEO, if I thought the company were heading towards immediate BK, I wouldn’t spent 13k on the stock. I think it’s a good sign.

Good grief. Do you not understand that he did not make a $13,000 investment in Spirit stock?

He paid $13,000 for a few hours of non-negative media coverage and an attempt to create a PR narrative, specifically within the employee ranks, to try to convince you all is well. Which you have bought hook, line and sinker.

CatPilot1 03-09-2024 06:42 AM


Originally Posted by StoneQOLdCrazy (Post 3779444)
Good grief. Do you not understand that he did not make a $13,000 investment in Spirit stock?

He paid $13,000 for a few hours of non-negative media coverage and an attempt to create a PR narrative, specifically within the employee ranks, to try to convince you all is well. Which you have bought hook, line and sinker.

I find it hard to believe any executive would spend their own money to create positive press. Good grief.

StoneQOLdCrazy 03-09-2024 06:55 AM


Originally Posted by CatPilot1 (Post 3779450)
I find it hard to believe any executive would spend their own money to create positive press. Good grief.

You find it hard to believe a guy would spend $13,000 to build a narrative that helps him keep a job that pays millions of dollars a year?

OK, then. Just keep spreading the narrative that he "invested" $13,000 in Spirit stock because he thinks it's a solid buy. That seems much more reasonable. smh

CatPilot1 03-09-2024 07:00 AM


Originally Posted by StoneQOLdCrazy (Post 3779460)
You find it hard to believe a guy would spend $13,000 to build a narrative that helps him keep a job that pays millions of dollars a year?

OK, then. Just keep spreading the narrative that he "invested" $13,000 in Spirit stock because he thinks it's a solid buy. smh

I find it hard to believe he would believe anyone would buy it. I don’t think anyone did, hence the continual drop in stock price. He could make a statement for free if he wanted to create a positive buzz at anytime, but for whatever reason he has chosen not to.

VacancyBid 03-09-2024 07:19 AM


Originally Posted by StoneQOLdCrazy (Post 3779419)
shed debt from lenders/vendors, and artificially reset labor costs to below-market rates..

I can't find a source/details, but there have been changes since 2008 that make bankruptcy much less certain for whacking labor costs.

As for the concessions from lenders/vendors ... the main asset is airplanes (and maybe gates/slots). And they're gonna go to the highest bidder. This isn't the middle of a wordlwide slump where the lender is just happy to have someone paying something every month.

Born2FlyAv8R 03-09-2024 07:21 AM


Originally Posted by StoneQOLdCrazy (Post 3779444)
Good grief. Do you not understand that he did not make a $13,000 investment in Spirit stock?

He paid $13,000 for a few hours of non-negative media coverage and an attempt to create a PR narrative, specifically within the employee ranks, to try to convince you all is well. Which you have bought hook, line and sinker.

Good grief! 🤣😂🤣😂🤣

putzin 03-09-2024 07:35 AM


Originally Posted by StoneQOLdCrazy (Post 3779419)
When one player is permitted to shed debt from lenders/vendors, and artificially reset labor costs to below-market rates...and other players are not availed of those tools...that is quite destabilizing.

Any narrative silmilar to "BK won't be that bad" is wishful thinking at best, and cynical dissembling at worst.

Spirt and Frontier are all ready at the bottom of the labor rates pile and doesn't seem to be affecting a thing. I also never said BK isn't bad, I said it's not the end of the world.

putzin 03-09-2024 07:36 AM


Originally Posted by born2flyav8r (Post 3779477)
good grief! 🤣😂🤣😂🤣

☝️☝️


.........

GhostKhost 03-09-2024 08:33 AM


Originally Posted by putzin (Post 3779413)
Offs, nobody, well except dumbass pilots, buys the dip on a company heading towards bankruptcy, especially C level execs! They didnt become multi-millionaires by being stupid. And I suppose you're subscribing to the theory Jblu spent 500 million on a merger they didn't think would happen so they could hurt a competitor that doesn't directly compete with them? You know because that's fiscally responsible. 🙄

I’d beg to differ. They became multi-millionaires by being lucky.

Flika 03-10-2024 07:14 PM


Originally Posted by VacancyBid (Post 3779409)
It is nonsense and he didn't say that.

He said that losing the stock _they bought that day_ wouldn't hurt them. The purchases in question
  • Rocky Wiggins, SVP and chief information officer, acquired 1,248 shares, spending USD7,188.48;
  • Edward M. Christie, president and CEO, acquired 2,252 shares, spending USD12,971.52;
  • Matthew Klein, EVP and CCO, acquired 3,277 shares, spending USD18,875.52;
  • Scott Haralson, EVP and chief financial officer, acquired 1,011 shares, spending USD5,828.36;
  • John A. Bendoraitis, EVP and chief operating officer, acquired 2,821 shares, spending USD13,138.56;
  • Kevin Blake Vanier, VP finance and strategy, acquired 1,058 shares, spending USD6,094.08;
  • Brian J. McMenamy, VP and chief accounting officer, acquired 131 shares, spending USD745.56; and
  • Thomas C. Canfield, SVP general counsel and secretary, acquired 967 shares, spending USD5,569.92.

I got this from an article with the headline "c-levels-at-uss-spirit-airlines-go-on-stock-shopping-spree"

It looks like a token investment ($70K between 8 execs) meant to generate rosy headlines. It doesn't shout confidence in a turnaround / buy the dip.

Again, if you think the c-suite can just buy stock the day or even week of bad press you are sadly mistaken, if they were bought, this trade was done well before the merger was terminated. If you are even a spirit employee you'll know TC has address this in the past, and you'll know most of them are compensated with stock, so we have no idea under what circumstances these shares were acquired. Not only that, If you do further research you'll see TC alone owns over 200,000 shares of spirit stock. Even to a millionare, a stock that was once worth 50+,going to 0 at 200,000 a pop is gonna hurt.

I'm not delusional, I understand the situation we are in, but at the same time a lot of the doom and gloom/conspiracy theories spread in the last few month are absolute non sense.

CatPilot1 03-10-2024 08:39 PM


Originally Posted by Flika (Post 3780180)
Again, if you think the c-suite can just buy stock the day or even week of bad press you are sadly mistaken, if they were bought, this trade was done well before the merger was terminated. If you are even a spirit employee you'll know TC has address this in the past, and you'll know most of them are compensated with stock, so we have no idea under what circumstances these shares were acquired. Not only that, If you do further research you'll see TC alone owns over 200,000 shares of spirit stock. Even to a millionare, a stock that was once worth 50+,going to 0 at 200,000 a pop is gonna hurt.

I'm not delusional, I understand the situation we are in, but at the same time a lot of the doom and gloom/conspiracy theories spread in the last few month are absolute non sense.

Executives are paid in stock for tax reasons; this is a scheduled payout. Idiotic click bait.


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