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Sniper66 03-15-2020 07:47 PM

April and may solution
 
for 2 months only for a start I am willing to work less and not for less

So I suggest

Every single pilot flying or TK or management gets 50 hrs credit for the month at their hourly rate.
man power decides how many they need to fly and or reserve per seniority and the rest stay home.
monthly pilot payroll will be around more or less 60 percent of what is usually monthly .

last I check pilot payroll is around 3.2 billion per year with flight ops budget of 4 billion or so
that will be almost 800 million or so saving for the company for 2 months and after that we shall see and act based on how things going

No furloughs
my choice if I had the magic wand

domino 03-15-2020 08:32 PM


Originally Posted by Sniper66 (Post 2999681)
for 2 months only for a start I am willing to work less and not for less

So I suggest

Every single pilot flying or TK or management gets 50 hrs credit for the month at their hourly rate.
man power decides how many they need to fly and or reserve per seniority and the rest stay home.
monthly pilot payroll will be around more or less 60 percent of what is usually monthly .

last I check pilot payroll is around 3.2 billion per year with flight ops budget of 4 billion or so
that will be almost 800 million or so saving for the company for 2 months and after that we shall see and act based on how things going

No furloughs
my choice if I had the magic wand

problem is that this is going to last years.....

Thor 03-15-2020 08:36 PM

If I had a magic wand I’d let our elected representatives negotiate on our behalf.

Sniper66 03-15-2020 08:38 PM


Originally Posted by domino (Post 2999725)
problem is that this is going to last years.....


I doubt that and think about
450 retiring every year given or take the company will be calling the seating home flyers as they need them and when all back everything back to normal schedules

Sniper66 03-15-2020 08:42 PM


Originally Posted by Thor (Post 2999731)
If I had a magic wand I’d let our elected representatives negotiate on our behalf.


fair I agree, I just stated my opinion
lets hope they do their best and by the way no scope relief and start parking RJs as well

rp2pilot 03-15-2020 09:59 PM


Originally Posted by domino (Post 2999725)
problem is that this is going to last years.....

I doubt that as well. Even the worst pandemic in history, the Spanish Flu, fizzled out after 18 months. The sun will still rise tomorrow and the next day. Life WILL return to normal, and you'll be able to buy toilet paper again. Relax, deep breath, and don't worry about stuff you have no control over.

Nucflash 03-15-2020 10:09 PM


Originally Posted by rp2pilot (Post 2999787)
I doubt that as well. Even the worst pandemic in history, the Spanish Flu, fizzled out after 18 months. The sun will still rise tomorrow and the next day. Life WILL return to normal, and you'll be able to buy toilet paper again. Relax, deep breath, and don't worry about stuff you have no control over.

There wasn’t a global airline industry around to destroy in 1918.

APC225 03-16-2020 03:45 AM


Originally Posted by rp2pilot (Post 2999787)
I doubt that as well. Even the worst pandemic in history, the Spanish Flu, fizzled out after 18 months. The sun will still rise tomorrow and the next day. Life WILL return to normal, and you'll be able to buy toilet paper again. Relax, deep breath, and don't worry about stuff you have no control over.

It may end in 18 months, but life will not return to normal for this generation if it's 1918.

"The Spanish flu pandemic of 1918, the deadliest in history, infected an estimated 500 million people worldwide—about one-third of the planet's population—and killed an estimated 20 million to 50 million victims, including some 675,000 Americans."

World population today is 7.5 billion.

The Sentinel 03-19-2020 04:46 AM


Originally Posted by rp2pilot (Post 2999787)
I doubt that as well. Even the worst pandemic in history, the Spanish Flu, fizzled out after 18 months. The sun will still rise tomorrow and the next day. Life WILL return to normal, and you'll be able to buy toilet paper again. Relax, deep breath, and don't worry about stuff you have no control over.

No toilet paper at Costco yesterday. Going to check Target today. Kleenex next. Paper towel after that!!

JoePatroni 03-19-2020 05:18 AM


Originally Posted by The Sentinel (Post 3003508)
No toilet paper at Costco yesterday. Going to check Target today. Kleenex next. Paper towel after that!!

I think Home Depot has plenty of sand paper. :D

The Sentinel 03-19-2020 05:25 AM


Originally Posted by JoePatroni (Post 3003530)
I think Home Depot has plenty of sand paper. :D

That’s awful. We don’t know how good we have it today.

What Did People Use for Wiping Before Toilet Paper?

fadec 03-19-2020 05:36 AM

In rural Mekong Delta there are piers for ****ting into the river and there is a fish adapted to eat your **** as soon as it hits the water. Then you wipe with banana leaves. I actually do have bananas in Florida but unfortunately no river or ca tra fish nearby, and banana leaves shouldn't be flushed.

sleeves 03-19-2020 05:39 AM


Originally Posted by domino (Post 2999725)
problem is that this is going to last years.....

Maybe, maybe not. It’s too uncertain to know yet. I think the 50 hour thing makes a lot of sense. If after the virus subsided and bookings are still low we can always do the f word then.

The Sentinel 03-19-2020 05:41 AM


Originally Posted by fadec (Post 3003548)
In rural Mekong Delta there are piers for ****ting into the river and there is a fish adapted to eat your **** as soon as it hits the water. Then you wipe with banana leaves. I actually do have bananas in Florida but unfortunately no river or ca tra fish nearby, and banana leaves shouldn't be flushed.

Hilarious. Banana leaves are way better than corn cobs. Or goose necks.

The Sentinel 03-19-2020 05:43 AM


Originally Posted by sleeves (Post 3003551)
Maybe, maybe not. It’s too uncertain to know yet. I think the 50 hour thing makes a lot of sense. If after the virus subsided and bookings are still low we can always do the f word then.

Not sure what this really means for us, but some recovery is occurring in China.

https://www.routesonline.com/news/29...ery-continues/

Dave Fitzgerald 03-19-2020 08:07 AM


Originally Posted by domino (Post 2999725)
problem is that this is going to last years.....

I think what he meant to say is, that even if the virus is short lived, (I think it'll be longer vs. shorter,) the affects on airlines and society will last years.

So, no hand shaking anymore? Do I not need to show that I am not carrying a weapon?

KonaJoe 03-19-2020 08:39 AM


Originally Posted by The Sentinel (Post 3003553)
Hilarious. Banana leaves are way better than corn cobs. Or goose necks.

Stray porcupine...

Anyways, for those who are afraid this is the end, there will be a vaccine soon, and there are drugs (old drugs already in circulation) that they are now realizing work effectively at combating the virus.

But they won't report that news with oversized, bold headlines.

MagooFlew 03-19-2020 01:07 PM


Originally Posted by Sniper66 (Post 2999681)
for 2 months only for a start I am willing to work less and not for less

So I suggest

Every single pilot flying or TK or management gets 50 hrs credit for the month at their hourly rate.
man power decides how many they need to fly and or reserve per seniority and the rest stay home.
monthly pilot payroll will be around more or less 60 percent of what is usually monthly .

last I check pilot payroll is around 3.2 billion per year with flight ops budget of 4 billion or so
that will be almost 800 million or so saving for the company for 2 months and after that we shall see and act based on how things going

No furloughs
my choice if I had the magic wand

Just trying to play along with the numbers... do you mean payroll B3.2 per yr / 6 = 533M for two months, and 40% savings on that = 212M for two months, or did I (probably) miss something?

rp2pilot 03-19-2020 04:31 PM


Originally Posted by Dave Fitzgerald (Post 3003791)
I think what he meant to say is, that even if the virus is short lived, (I think it'll be longer vs. shorter,) the affects on airlines and society will last years.

So, no hand shaking anymore? Do I not need to show that I am not carrying a weapon?

I think that went way over most people's heads, Dave. I know you, you're a killing machine even unarmed :). Hope all is well on the left coast.

Lax Dad 03-19-2020 06:28 PM


Originally Posted by The Sentinel (Post 3003553)
Hilarious. Banana leaves are way better than corn cobs. Or goose necks.

A bear and a rabbit are taking a **** in the woods.

The bear turns to the rabbit and asks conversationally: "You ever have a problem with **** sticking to your fur?"

The rabbit, smugly, replies: "Nope, never."

The bear says "Good to hear it," picks up the rabbit and wipes his ass with the bunny.

CLazarus 03-19-2020 07:05 PM


Originally Posted by Lax Dad (Post 3004625)
A bear and a rabbit are taking a **** in the woods.

The bear turns to the rabbit and asks conversationally: "You ever have a problem with **** sticking to your fur?"

The rabbit, smugly, replies: "Nope, never."

The bear says "Good to hear it," picks up the rabbit and wipes his ass with the bunny.

Best 2nd post ever! Take note Sentinel...

Arctic9 03-19-2020 07:52 PM


Originally Posted by MagooFlew (Post 3004269)
Just trying to play along with the numbers... do you mean payroll B3.2 per yr / 6 = 533M for two months, and 40% savings on that = 212M for two months, or did I (probably) miss something?

The word starting to come out is that we are burning through over $120 million PER DAY.

Andy 03-20-2020 03:43 AM


Originally Posted by Arctic9 (Post 3004704)
The word starting to come out is that we are burning through over $120 million PER DAY.

$120M times 365 = $43.8B.

Operating Expenses for 2019 were $39B. Includes $9B in fuel, $2.5B in landing fees and other rent.

Possible, but the $120M/day number looks like it's a bit high. And assumes zero revenue.
I'm sure that the burn rate is insanely high, but $120M/day just sounds a bit too high. My uneducated guess (based on lowering some expenses) is $90-95M/day. Still outrageously bad and $8B is gone in less than 3 months at that rate.

tennisguru 03-20-2020 05:05 AM


Originally Posted by Andy (Post 3004844)
$120M times 365 = $43.8B.

Operating Expenses for 2019 were $39B. Includes $9B in fuel, $2.5B in landing fees and other rent.

Possible, but the $120M/day number looks like it's a bit high. And assumes zero revenue.
I'm sure that the burn rate is insanely high, but $120M/day just sounds a bit too high. My uneducated guess (based on lowering some expenses) is $90-95M/day. Still outrageously bad and $8B is gone in less than 3 months at that rate.

Just for reference, on one of our (Delta) video updates from Managment it was mentioned we were burning approximately $40 million/day. Not sure if that is getting any better now that mass cancellations have begun and we aren’t flying practically empty planes everywhere.

JoePatroni 03-20-2020 01:21 PM


Originally Posted by Andy (Post 3004844)
$120M times 365 = $43.8B.

Operating Expenses for 2019 were $39B. Includes $9B in fuel, $2.5B in landing fees and other rent.

Possible, but the $120M/day number looks like it's a bit high. And assumes zero revenue.
I'm sure that the burn rate is insanely high, but $120M/day just sounds a bit too high. My uneducated guess (based on lowering some expenses) is $90-95M/day. Still outrageously bad and $8B is gone in less than 3 months at that rate.

Price of oil has plummeted too.

Andy 03-20-2020 02:59 PM


Originally Posted by JoePatroni (Post 3005385)
Price of oil has plummeted too.

Yes, cut in more than half. That lowers the annual number by (uneducated spitball) $5B or so? And we're using less fuel which cuts another (uneducated guess) $2B off the cost. Total annual fuel cost could be coming in at $2B. We'll have to see what the Q1 numbers look like.

Sniper66 03-20-2020 03:46 PM

Looks like they may have met their numbers of volunteers or close to that at least

Now if everyone gets a 50 hour line awarded for April
there should not be furloughs I hope

badflaps 03-20-2020 03:56 PM


Originally Posted by Dave Fitzgerald (Post 3003791)
I think what he meant to say is, that even if the virus is short lived, (I think it'll be longer vs. shorter,) the affects on airlines and society will last years.

So, no hand shaking anymore? Do I not need to show that I am not carrying a weapon?

You are good, hopefully no F/A will have you arrested for assault with a dead weapon.

Dave Fitzgerald 03-21-2020 12:32 AM


Originally Posted by rp2pilot (Post 3004486)
I think that went way over most people's heads, Dave. I know you, you're a killing machine even unarmed :). Hope all is well on the left coast.

Touché!!

Thanks, so far so good, but stuck in a hotel for 22 hrs on a closed beach....

Andy 03-21-2020 06:25 AM


Originally Posted by tennisguru (Post 3004869)
Just for reference, on one of our (Delta) video updates from Managment it was mentioned we were burning approximately $40 million/day. Not sure if that is getting any better now that mass cancellations have begun and we aren’t flying practically empty planes everywhere.

Delta's salaries and related costs for 2019 was $11.2B. That's $30.7M/day for payroll alone.

United's salaries and related costs for 2019 was $12.1B. That's $33.2M/day for payroll alone.

DashTrash 03-21-2020 06:30 AM


Originally Posted by Andy (Post 3006094)
Delta's salaries and related costs for 2019 was $11.2B. That's $30.7M/day for payroll alone.

United's salaries and related costs for 2019 was $12.1B. That's $33.2M/day for payroll alone.

Delta also has the benefit of only two Unionized work groups.

C130driver 03-21-2020 06:39 AM


Originally Posted by fadec (Post 3003548)
In rural Mekong Delta there are piers for ****ting into the river and there is a fish adapted to eat your **** as soon as it hits the water. Then you wipe with banana leaves. I actually do have bananas in Florida but unfortunately no river or ca tra fish nearby, and banana leaves shouldn't be flushed.

Or do what the Hajiis do in Afghanistan, don’t wipe!

Sniper66 03-21-2020 06:46 AM

fuel cost was the same at a price of 58 dollars per crude,
today crude is 18 or so.
so fuel spending will be 1/3 but the big problem is planes aren’t flying

If we all work or not work for 50 hrs pay I think we will get through this mess for the next few months as long as passengers come back

BMEP100 03-21-2020 07:22 AM


Originally Posted by Dave Fitzgerald (Post 3005980)
Touché!!

Thanks, so far so good, but stuck in a hotel for 22 hrs on a closed beach....

Cozumel? ..............

Dave Fitzgerald 03-21-2020 10:41 AM


Originally Posted by BMEP100 (Post 3006149)
Cozumel? ..............

Tel Aviv-absolutely beautiful. Lots of restrictions. Not supposed to go outside the hotel. I'm thinking this is one of the flights that won't survive the week.

An interesting academic problem on the way down. Alternates. Not many places that will allow you to divert there. Of course declare an emergency, but then you'll be stuck there for quarantine. Alternate was Rota--Spain!

MagooFlew 03-21-2020 11:44 AM


Originally Posted by BMEP100 (Post 3006149)
Cozumel? ..............

deleted for reply to wrong post

Bat Guano 03-21-2020 11:50 AM

[QUOTE=Dave Fitzgerald;3006397]Tel Aviv-absolutely beautiful. Lots of restrictions. Not supposed to go outside the hotel. /QUOTE]

That's senseless. The last place I'd want to remain is cooped up in that hotel. I'd be outside, walking, scootering, biking, etc. in the sunshine.

Oh well.

I'm on Vacation, so (not) missing all of this. Back on Reserve next month and wondering just how much flying there will be with only one destination. Hopefully, none.

BMEP100 03-21-2020 12:24 PM


Originally Posted by Dave Fitzgerald (Post 3006397)
Tel Aviv-absolutely beautiful. Lots of restrictions. Not supposed to go outside the hotel. I'm thinking this is one of the flights that won't survive the week.

An interesting academic problem on the way down. Alternates. Not many places that will allow you to divert there. Of course declare an emergency, but then you'll be stuck there for quarantine. Alternate was Rota--Spain!

Rota? My fini flight layover was there. Good paella in town.


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