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IPA Demographics, Growth & Attrition Reports

Old 01-22-2020, 02:33 AM
  #31  
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Originally Posted by Flybynight101 View Post
I sincerely hope you run for an EB position when the time comes to replace our current EB. I was hired shortly after you but always appreciated your no BS, fact driven posts.

Thank you...”Captain xyz
Totally agree with your sentiment.

Not sure if posting names is necessary though?
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Old 01-22-2020, 03:01 PM
  #32  
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I was under the impression everyone knew who it was. I don’t think he ever tried to hide it. It wasn’t my intention to “dox” him. I was simply poking fun at the nickname “xyz” gave him.
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Old 01-22-2020, 10:42 PM
  #33  
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I laughed
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Old 01-23-2020, 07:21 AM
  #34  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
I laughed
Fair enough.
..and it’s all good flybynight - the comment was more about the fact some people care while others don’t when their names are being mentioned. Know of two former contributors who are no longer on APC for that reason.
Take care.
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Old 02-19-2020, 04:23 AM
  #35  
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So I ran some numbers, and correct me if I’m wrong. But for a new hire that starts in 2020, it seems like the upgrade time will still be about 10 years. Using the current fleet count and pilots year end 2019, it’s about an 11 crew per plane utilization. So one would have to be around a 1550 seniority number to hold junior upgrade. Based on just mandatory retirements, my math shows around 10 years.

Again in that’s just going off these charts and the mandatory retirements I see on APC. Obviously early retirements will skew things and FOs who bypass. But this info is just on what’s given and what is guaranteed. I’d be curious to know what current percentage of FOs are bypassing and if there is a percentage of FOs who are sitting right seat until retirement due simply to QOL.

Dont attack me 🙈
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Old 02-19-2020, 04:38 AM
  #36  
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Originally Posted by Chris25 View Post
So I ran some numbers, and correct me if I’m wrong. But for a new hire that starts in 2020, it seems like the upgrade time will still be about 10 years. Using the current fleet count and pilots year end 2019, it’s about an 11 crew per plane utilization. So one would have to be around a 1550 seniority number to hold junior upgrade. Based on just mandatory retirements, my math shows around 10 years.

Again in that’s just going off these charts and the mandatory retirements I see on APC. Obviously early retirements will skew things and FOs who bypass. But this info is just on what’s given and what is guaranteed. I’d be curious to know what current percentage of FOs are bypassing and if there is a percentage of FOs who are sitting right seat until retirement due simply to QOL.

Dont attack me 🙈
I'm not sure of the exact seniority number of the junior Captain, but I'd guess it's closer to 2100 than 1550. We have a significant number of bypassers, and despite repeated predictions those bypassers will bid upgrade, the numbers seem to remain constant bid to bid. As more senior bypassers bid to upgrade, someone junior bypasses to take their spot. There are definitely a number of FOs who will sit right seat until retirement or just before if they want the captain pension.
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Old 02-19-2020, 04:39 AM
  #37  
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Junior CA award on the November 2019 bid was in the 70% ballpark and 4.5 years on property. 65-70% has been seniority for junior CA award for the last 5 or so years.

I don’t have my figures in front of me, but we’ll take delivery of something like 26 growth airframes 2020-2022, 13 of which come this year. Those growth airframes will have to be staffed...

Average retirement age is 63(ish), and our mandatory retirement bubble doesn’t really begin until 2024 after which we’ll mandatory retire 100+ for over a decade. We retired 3x mandatory retirements in 2019 and have done 2x mandatory retirements in 2017 and 2018...2020 looks to be on pace for at least 2x as well.
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Old 02-19-2020, 05:23 AM
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Ok all that makes sense. Thanks for the information!
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Old 02-19-2020, 06:41 AM
  #39  
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Originally Posted by Chris25 View Post
So I ran some numbers, and correct me if I’m wrong. But for a new hire that starts in 2020, it seems like the upgrade time will still be about 10 years. Using the current fleet count and pilots year end 2019, it’s about an 11 crew per plane utilization. So one would have to be around a 1550 seniority number to hold junior upgrade. Based on just mandatory retirements, my math shows around 10 years.

Again in that’s just going off these charts and the mandatory retirements I see on APC. Obviously early retirements will skew things and FOs who bypass. But this info is just on what’s given and what is guaranteed. I’d be curious to know what current percentage of FOs are bypassing and if there is a percentage of FOs who are sitting right seat until retirement due simply to QOL.

Dont attack me 🙈
And BTW, every airline is like this, that is why we are seeing such junior captains at Delta, United, AA, etc (EXCEPT SOUTHWEST &#128563.
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