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2021 System Bid Rumors

Old 01-30-2021, 03:27 AM
  #131  
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Extremely unofficial, first-cup-of-coffee, napkin math of the 148 vacancies available to newhires generated from the recent vacancy bid award:

SDF MD11: 13
ONT 757: 14
SDF 757: 17
SDF A300: 21
SDF 757Z: 25
ANC 747: 58

NOTE: Standard disclaimers apply...informational only, past results not indicative of future performance, individual class drops at Company's discretion, no idea how many (if any) vacancies remain unfilled from last summer's bid, etc etc etc
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Old 05-08-2021, 02:12 PM
  #132  
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More unofficial napkin math with same disclaimers as above:

147 newhires YTD in 2021

12 ONT 757
16 SDF 757
22 SDF MD
22 SDF A30
22 SDFZ 757
53 ANC 747
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Old 05-08-2021, 02:54 PM
  #133  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
More unofficial napkin math with same disclaimers as above:

147 newhires YTD in 2021

12 ONT 757
16 SDF 757
22 SDF MD
22 SDF A30
22 SDFZ 757
53 ANC 747
So you’re saying there is a chance for a system bid soon. The real money is made betting on how big it will be. Will the company go CRAZY and offer 100 upgrades or play it safe and offer 5 .
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Old 05-08-2021, 03:01 PM
  #134  
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Originally Posted by tnkrdrvr View Post
So you’re saying there is a chance for a system bid soon. The real money is made betting on how big it will be. Will the company go CRAZY and offer 100 upgrades or play it safe and offer 5 .

With 767 deliveries ending but 747 deliveries continuing plus retirements and the peak training slowdown...I would say 75 is safe bet
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Old 05-08-2021, 03:01 PM
  #135  
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Originally Posted by tnkrdrvr View Post
So you’re saying there is a chance for a system bid soon. The real money is made betting on how big it will be. Will the company go CRAZY and offer 100 upgrades or play it safe and offer 5 .
My guess is less than 30 upgrades whenever that bid comes out. Plenty of people taking JA’s and picking up open time.
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Old 05-08-2021, 04:12 PM
  #136  
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Originally Posted by tnkrdrvr View Post
So you’re saying there is a chance for a system bid soon.
All I'm saying is through today, we've hired 147 people so far this year

19-102 in Nov'19 created 185 vacancies, 20-101 in Jul'20 created 92 vacancies...277 total vacancies between the two bids and we hired 227 in 2020. Bid 21-101 created 148 vacancies and we've hired 147 YTD.

Looking back at the last few years, there was June bid in 2018, June bid in 2019, and a July bid in 2020.
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Old 05-08-2021, 04:16 PM
  #137  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
All I'm saying is through today, we've hired 147 people so far this year

19-102 in Nov'19 created 185 vacancies, 20-101 in Jul'20 created 92 vacancies...277 total vacancies between the two bids and we hired 227 in 2020. Bid 21-101 created 148 vacancies and we've hired 147 YTD.

Looking back at the last few years, there was June bid in 2018, June bid in 2019, and a July bid in 2020.

July 2021 bid seems to fit
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Old 05-08-2021, 04:36 PM
  #138  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
All I'm saying is through today, we've hired 147 people so far this year

19-102 in Nov'19 created 185 vacancies, 20-101 in Jul'20 created 92 vacancies...277 total vacancies between the two bids and we hired 227 in 2020. Bid 21-101 created 148 vacancies and we've hired 147 YTD.

Looking back at the last few years, there was June bid in 2018, June bid in 2019, and a July bid in 2020.
It will be interesting to see how this year plays out for hiring. We are probably pretty close to a post furlough record pace. The question is (as always) what is management trying to accomplish.
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Old 05-08-2021, 05:48 PM
  #139  
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Originally Posted by BoilerUP View Post
All I'm saying is through today, we've hired 147 people so far this year

Bid 21-101 created 148 vacancies and we've hired 147 YTD.
.
Did you check and see if the new hires actually went to the seats that we had the vacancies on?
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Old 05-08-2021, 06:09 PM
  #140  
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Originally Posted by Night_Hawk View Post
Did you check and see if the new hires actually went to the seats that we had the vacancies on?

Yeah..look back a few posts
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