Originally Posted by
Sliceback
My heads starting to spin from the various numbers but here goes -
A guy has been making very accurate predictions on how far down the list each class will go. He also tracks the recall acceptance rate that actually requal at AA(ie, not MLOA, deferral, etc, etc).
Basic recall of his numbers is he expects 100(?) guys to accept recall and then there are 165(?) AE guys to come through.
He projected hiring next August if we stayed at recalling 25 per month.
If my recall of his projections is correct he's looking at approx. 250-300 guys before AA starts off the street hiring. If that's correct you can divide 250-300 by any increased recall rate and that will be the new estimated 'off the street' hiring date.
System wide union meeting June 8th. No whispers on what it's about so no predictions from me. However, negotiating email today said they believe the company is serious about getting a deal shortly. If true, and it comes to pass, and if the company has some sort of internal growth plan to fight UA/CO and DL/NW, who knows what 2012/2013, or beyond, will look like....however, I wouldn't hold my breath.
Is that 250-300 who bypass the recall or 250-300 who accepted and in class? It seems like this movement is happening fast, and if they even have a slight projection of off the street hiring they should be proactive and start dusting off the interview room and building a pool for the upcoming pilot shortage! (Oh wait, I forgot I'm dealing with airline management.....proactive doesn't apply to crew planning)