Originally Posted by
Mason32
You apparently have no idea what you're talking about. AA has announced previously that the FTDT change alone will require an additional 4,000 pilots based upon our current contract and utilization.
Personally, I think the number is a bit too high, but it is easilly 2,000 more required. That alone will eat halfway into Eagle's list.
Our MANDATORY retirements will average 300-700 per year (lower now & larger later) and this does not include those who will punch out prior to losing too much in their funds.
Things will begin moving here fairly fast, fairly soon. My best guess would be all Eagle guys getting the offer within the next 5 years, and 6 at most.... with the first 240 to flow this Nov/Dec and the 824 to start thereafter...
If I were starting out, it's where I would pick. A guaranteed faster upgrade than places with no movement to their mainline, which means faster TPIC and a faster path to any major... with the fallback plan of simply enjoying being a fairly well paid RJ Captain until AA calls.
Your comment would have been great without your first sentence thrown in, but anyway... You are not calculating the fact that Eagle only sends 50% thru the 824 then it is only 35% up to a maximum of 25 per month. I still think that a 2011 hire will be luck to get the AA call inside of 10years. I like your optimism though and wish for it to become reality. One can only wait and see.