Speaking of the Fall AE, here is a prediction of what it will entail, based on things said by crew resources and other key folks over the last month or so. I listed the positions by event probability.
Almost Certain: Close MEM DC9
Likely: Filled unfilled A330 CA positions from last bid, as well as “early out” 330 CA positions (about 40 total 330 CA positions, if I did my math right…)
Likely: Balance M88 CA and FO positions in NYC and MSP (NYC has more M88 CA than FO’s, MSP more FO’s than CA. Would be an increase of about 30 CA in MSP, 30 FO NYC, and should be most of what’s needed to cover the incoming 90’s through the spring.)
Possible: Open 73N DTW. Probably small at first. Crew resources indicated that , if this happened, the would fund it through 73N displacements in all other bases (though the closure of the 73N CVG is a rumor running around with this.)
Possible: Open 320 NYC. Obviously in play with the slot swap going through. Again, probably small at first if it happens, and I would imagine it would be funded through displacements in MSP, DTW, and possibly MEM. (one could even feasibly make the argument that the MEM 320 catgegory is very high credit time
) I think they would probably pick one between this and the 73N DTW for the fall bid.
Possible: Smattering of M88 positions in all bases, funded by displacements in DC9 DTW, MSP.
I would imagine they would ellect not to backfill much in a few categories (7ER comes to mind) to account for the fall/winter slowdown.
Somebody with more "dots" can add/correct as necessary