As of the Aug. 10 class, there are currently 807 pilots on furlough who've not been offered recall. There are 823 pilots remaining on deferred status.

There are 249 AE flow-throughs eligible to flow up to AA. 149 of these will be offered employment after the most junior furloughed pilot is offered recall. The remaining 100 AE pilots have seniority numbers junior to the junior red (TWA) pilot and will be intermixed with the remaining blue (native AA) pilots.

The Aug. 24 class (13 pilots) and Sept. 7 class (18 pilots) have been filled. They are calling for the Sept. 21 & Oct. 5 classes. An Oct. 19 class is planned.

Reports on Aug. 18 & 19 seem to conflict on the acceptance rate for the October 5 class. One caller saying it is higher (35%) and another lower than expected. I guess it depends more on what the company expects than on what the model projects. With the pilots being called for October 5, the model is still working.

Latest projection is the junior furloughed red pilot will be offered recall in the November 9 class, beginning the recall of the remaining AA pilots and opportunity for the next group of AE pilots.

The Be Prepared model says the last furloughed pilot may be offered recall in March 2012. Then, the next group of AE pilots. The model is now using a 75% acceptance rate for the junior 149 AE pilots and projects they will be offered classes in July 2012.

Some previous deferred pilots are accepting recall. A few are returning to immediate military leave. Some (may have) previously deferred in order to give proper notice, return from overseas flying, complete military service or to be more 'senior' in their recall class. Others are lurking to see what happens regarding a new contract and hoping for LOS credit.


You can see much of this HERE.