Here is the news. Today was Delta's briefing to the Deutsche Bank AG conference. Just as ACL said.
Delta Plans Seat Cuts, American Joins Pullback
By Mary Schlangenstein and Mary Jane Credeur - Sep 13, 2011
Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) will shrink seating capacity in 2012 to cut operating costs, and American Airlines is joining an industry pullback in flights for the end of this year.
Delta’s available seating next year will fall by 2 percent to 3 percent, the Atlanta-based carrier said today in a regulatory filing. American said next quarter’s trims will pare flying by 0.5 percent, and plans for 2012 are now under review. The Bloomberg U.S. Airlines Index jumped the most in a month.
“If a recession does pop and we start to see demand reductions, we’ll be prepared for it,” Delta President Ed Bastian said at a Deutsche Bank AG conference in New York.
Paring capacity can be a positive step for airlines, both in savings from operating expenses and in pricing power for a smaller supply of seats. United Continental Holdings Inc. (UAL), the world’s largest carrier, and No. 2 Delta unveiled their end-of- year retrenchments earlier.
United’s capacity will be unchanged next year, with a planned drop in domestic seats balanced by increases in overseas flying, Chief Executive Officer Jeffery Smisek said at the conference.
“If we had a material decrease in demand or a material increase in input prices, we would shrink” in 2012, Smisek said.
Airlines Rally
The Bloomberg airlines index jumped as much as 7 percent for its biggest intraday advance since Aug. 9, led by US Airways Group Inc. (LCC) The Tempe, Arizona-based airline soared 94 cents, or 19 percent, to $5.79 at 1:55 p.m. in New York Stock Exchange composite trading, the most since September 2009.
American parent AMR Corp. (AMR) climbed 17 cents, or 5.2 percent, to $3.44, and Delta climbed 61 cents, or 8.3 percent, to $7.99. United rose $1.45, or 8.1 percent, to $19.41.
US Airways President Scott Kirby told analysts and investors that air-travel demand appears to be disconnected from global economic events such as the European credit crisis that might have eroded airlines’ business in the past.
“We don’t see any evidence yet of a slowdown,” Kirby said. “We’ve seen a strong demand environment from mid-July through yesterday.”
Lower-Demand Days
American’s pullback includes reductions that began in August that reduce flying by varying amounts on lower-demand travel days, Treasurer Beverly Goulet said at the conference. The cuts include a 13 percent drop on Saturdays, according to an American presentation for investors.
“Although advance bookings are generally in line, we are taking the step in light of the mixed economic environment and to make sure we run a smooth operation given additional pilot retirements we expect this fall,” Goulet said. Pilots were asked to voluntarily delay September vacations to avoid shortages after 111 retirements at the end of August exceeded expectations.
The Fort Worth, Texas-based airline had held off on disclosing fourth-quarter capacity changes as Delta decided in July to deepen its capacity reduction to 5 percent after the peak summer travel season, up from a planned 4 percent cut, and United chopped available seats by 4 percent.
Delta’s projected cut in 2012 flying builds on savings steps such as buyout and early retirement offers that were accepted this year by more than 2,000 employees. The airline also said this month it is eliminating 200 administrative jobs.
Delta Stands Pat
Bastian confirmed today that Delta has no plans for a purchase of smaller single-aisle jets after agreeing last month to buy 100 Boeing Co. (BA) 737s with a catalog value of $8.5 billion.
Delta had been in talks with Embraer SA (EMBR3) and Bombardier Inc. about planes that would complement its Boeing and Airbus SAS narrow-body jets, according to people familiar with the matter who weren’t authorized to speak publicly. One person said last month that the Embraer and Bombardier discussions had been tabled until at least 2012.
“I want to put to rest as to whether there is a second tranche,” Bastian said today. “We are done talking about aircraft for the near to medium term, be it with Bombardier or Embraer or Boeing or Airbus. We’re very comfortable with where we are for the next several years.”
American also said Hurricane Irene reduced revenue by about $25 million and that third-quarter unit revenue, a measure of sales for each seat flown a mile, will rise by about 7 percent from a year earlier.
Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV), the largest low-fare carrier, said Irene reduced revenue by about $6.5 million.
it still seems like objective signs that scope negotiations are in play for the 100 seat jet. The dots are:
- Talks with the largest manufacturers of "regional" jets
- Many reports of Requests for Proposals from pilots at "Connection" carriers
- Types already in operation at Regional Carriers with established training programs
- Contract 2012
- Demographics of the Delta seniority list
Another data point is that Bastian ("I stay up at night worrying about how much pilots earn") is making the comments.
As always, hope that I am wrong. Already tired of being at an ever shrinking airline. In the past, airlines matched GDP growth. If that were true, we would be about 8 to 10% larger in 2012 (using GDP since bankruptcy exit as the benchmark).
Hopefully Sailing or Slow will be along soon to tell us that I'm full of crap and the cuts are RJ's, (which I am sure is partly true).