Thanks for the notice on the e-mail. I liked Ted's comment about the active pilots getting Continental job offers.

First, don't assume that the number 99 accepting a domestic domicile is going into the first Oct class. I don't read the e-mail that way; I read it that they sent out two batches of letters - one for Guam only and another for domestic domiciles for any non-Guamer (not a word but hopefully conveys my intent). The letter seeking Guamers went to a lot more than 100 furloughees. The letter going out for domestic domiciles only went to 100 furloughees. So number 99 accepting a domestic domicile may be assigned to the second class. Does this make sense?
Going forward, they will send out letters in batches of 250 starting next week. So a total of 350 will receive offers for domestic domiciles, with plans to fill Nov and Dec classes.

Second, I don't see the military deferral number remaining that high for reasons I've already posted.

Third, many deferrals may accept later classes due to: 1) having current job committments or 2) want to get some bodies beneath them before accepting recall.

I'm not trying to be too negative but I also don't want to get peoples' hopes up on when they'll see a recall. I'm probably going to barely miss the second batch of 250 letters but I will be near the top of the following set of 250 letters. At this point, I think it's a bit too early to calculate recall percentages. I can see reasons for both high and low bypass rates.
The good news that I read in all of this is that it sounds like they'll keep a training pipeline flowing after the 178 slots. I'll feel a lot better when I see that Continental is accepting newhire applications ... I don't expect to see any recalls on the United side for a while. Once United recalls happen, it'll be a cluster and the company had better be willing to throw us double furloughees a bone to not royally screw up their training cycles.