Originally Posted by
org1
Second, the study is of general aviation. Has nothing to do with air carriers. (Or military, for that matter) It includes everything but military and FAR 121, as far as I can tell, and more to the point, while it includes FAR 135 and 125, it also includes a huge number of non professionals. So basically, it has no relevance to this discussion. There's a big difference in a private pilot flying 30 hours a year and a pro that's flying several hundred and is retrained every 6 or 12 months.
I never stated that the graphs were only commercial aviation. Where did you jump to that conclusion? As for the correlation between GA and Commercial aviation, what kind of graphs are you REALLY expecting to see in commercial aviaiton? Almost everyone is over 1500 hours, so you will not see the precipitous drop if you only use commercial statistics. You'll have merely thrown out the trend that I cited.
There are very similar graphs with military personnel. I could dig up the graphs, but it's not really worth my time, since you'll then reply that it's military and has nothing to do with commercial aviation.
Let me clarify. There is an initial steep learning curve in aviation (and many other tasks); are you denying this? Are you saying that the same amount of learning occurs at 5000 hours as 500 hours?