The ATRs are OLD. Nobody but Boyd thinks they will be around, much less 39 of them, by 2016. I suspect a lot more EMBs will survive, but probably not the 135s, and most 140s, but I would be surprised if AE lost any CRJs, and possibly gaining more from scope relief.

Boyd also has some facts wrong in his tables. AE doesn't have 39 EMB-135s operational in 2011. More like 20 or so, maybe. 18 or so are parked in the desert.

Boyd hates Eagle. He also predicted Eagle being parked previously, like all of it, after 9-11.

Eagle makes money. To cut back a money making operation seems illogical.