I frequent a bar that boasts "Free Beer Tomorrow", everyday.
Seriously, I personally know guys who have had their app in for well over a year with no word as of yet. Rumor is that they have somewhere in the neighborhood of 14-15,000 apps to choose from, and the first chosen will be from highly pushed sponsors. After the first of the new year the normal, experienced applicants should come to the top of the bunch.
Bottom line is that massive retirements within the next 1-2 years should at least give a qualified app a chance.
Good Luck
I am the Walrus.......