Originally Posted by
embraer
Keep in mind that our captains flowing to AA was in anticipation of their upcoming retirements.
I know much perspective has been lost since this whole BK thing happened, but lets not forget that 2012 is the year when major retirements begin at all the legacy airlines, AA included.
This is not something AA, AMR, APA, or anybody else has control over. Those pilots due to hit 65 must go. Many will retire before 65. All of our flow-through agreements are still in place. The 824 flow through is a grievance that was awarded by another judge and cannot be thrown out. They must flow when AA needs them. A quick look back at the projected retirements at AA for 2012 and beyond will show that our 824 captains will be needed sooner rather than later.
So I know there is much doom and gloom right now. In reality all we have is uncertainty. Hang on to things we do know and take everything else with a grain of salt. Talk to anybody who was at Delta, United, Continental, etc.. when they went through BK.
Things like speculations, rumors, doom, gloom, and having the peanut gallery talk about you and your company in third person is all part of the game.
You're too optimistic man. Get ready for the furlough just in case get to your #. We are overstaffed, we need only like 3000 at the most counting the ERJs, CRJs and ATRs.
ATRs will be gone sooner that it was planned. That's about 360 pilots (10 pilots per plane most likely).
The first sign is the January lines, take a look of them. No Open Time, and lot of free days with reductions of flight time.
Hope for the best, plan for the worst.