Originally Posted by
Bucking Bar
Second hand reports from the LCA are that even with further transatlantic capacity cuts we are likely to ramp up hiring towards the end of 2012.
As much as
I still don't see it happening. That rumor may be based on very optimistic projections for summer 2013 flying but as we easily get past this summer on the staffing we have and very few retirements for 2013 and the EU (and us) keep getting closer to a fiscal
what in the world would be the driver for hiring this year? My back of the napkin math gives them a year easy, likely 2 and just maybe 3 where they could hold off on hiring with our existing block hours, which will likely go down again as many have pointed out, before we "have" to hire for the mass exodous that is supposedly going to materialize.
I could see us padding the instructor ranks a year or two from now in anticipation of the BPS (big pilot shortage) [Kit Darby notwithstanding] but I just can't see the rationale for opening the gates of hiring other than the possibility of growth/expansion (mergers don't count) and I'm really, really not seeing that.
Maybe if there really is a "hundred seater" that's going to materialize, which is a big IF in itself, but also as a growth aircraft...or maybe if DALPA is going to get serious about outsourcing reversal (another big IF)
and if (another very big IF) the company sees that and accepts that its happening, then maybe I could see hiring in 2012.
Maybe. Just maybe. Then again, maybe
But srsly what can you see as the driver for hiring this year when faced with the staffing numbers we have coupled with another even small amount of additional reductions?