As of Feb. 1 there are 91 pilots on the -200 and the next bid for training slots will award on Feb. 15 for March training. When we were running -400 new hire classes at full tilt, number varied slightly, but I think the average class was 12 every three weeks and even at that rate there were backlogs that required skipping weeks for classes.

So, assuming my assuming is correct, best case for getting through the -200/-400 conversion to a new hire class will be 27 weeks from the beginning of March. SWAG, the next new hire 747 class will be Oct. 1, 2012. FWIW.

Over/under?


Disclaimer: If it wasn't obvious, its just a guess.