CitationD, thanks.
As someone who's spent a LOT of time on furlough, the last thing that I'd want to do is falsely raise ShortBusDrive's expectations. On the other hand, he's likely to be trying to make plans based on the best possible information. He's likely to be in, at worst, the fourth class after the second April class.
The reason why I hedge with at worst is because acceptance rates are going to decrease as we get deeper on the furloughee list. They will decrease because 1) the 2007/8 furloughees will have a higher percentage of military deferrals (a lot of us hired 2001 and earlier have retired from the military) and 2) the pay rate will be much lower for 2007/8 returnees. The lower pay rate will mean that many will stay put at their current jobs if they're making a higher salary rather than accept the LCAL offer.

It's a fine balancing act between unrealistically raising one's expectations and giving them good information on which to plan their future.

While my response may have hurt DV's feelings, DV gave zero thought to the turd that he dropped on ShortBusDrive's doorstep with his response.