Out of 500 I'd say maybe 300?? Just a guess.....

No, if I was at a good flight department I'd at the very least defer until the very end. The schedule alone at NJA is pretty crappy compared to respectable charter/corporate gigs.

I'm at a small time department, in a segment of the industry with seemingly good job security. The wife and I have discussed it recently. While she is worried about another furlough (if we ever get recalled), the pro's do outweigh the cons for us..... (by the time a recall "would take place, we'll be debt free besides any mortgage we decide to endure). So as long as it is no sooner than 2014 I'll return kicking and screaming though!!

With the lack of movement at NJA, along with airlines possibly hiring by 2014, along with people not going back to NJA due to better situations, I think attrition and recalls #'s will affect hiring by 2016 or so..... Don't think it will take all that long to run through the furloughed list.

Or the economy ramps up like crazy this year (doubtful, modest growth at best) and 2013 is the year.....

Or the fractional model tanks, NJA recalls in 2020 and none of us even remember who Netjets was...

If you have access to njcrew, check out Eyers msg. concerning recent furlough rumors...... In my 10+ years in commercial aviation that was the most forceful response I've seen to a furlough rumor...

Normally I don't read/believe any of what they say, but instead of milking the furlough rumor to leverage the pilot group, he flat out says (paraphrasing) "we have no intention of furloughing, the fleet and staffing plan don't call for it, and as long as the economy/business does what we thing it will due, plan on having recalls start in 2014.."