Originally Posted by
linnje
It would be interesting to see some statistics on the relationship between different type of experience and accidents/incidents.. Overseas its quite common to get into the right seat of A320/737, in asia even widebody, with 250+ hrs, or even less if the training is integrated. It works well over there. Maybe the training within the companies could make a difference? Im not against the 1500 rule, Im just not so sure it will play the intended role in the safety-picture?
First you would have to see some accident statistics from "over there" (and the rest of the world):
There are significant regional differences in the Western built jet hull loss accident rate:
North America (0.10), Europe (0.45), North Asia (0.34) and the Commonwealth of Independent States (0.0) performed better than the global average of 0.61
Asia-Pacific was higher than the global average at 0.80 in 2010 and about the same from the previous year (0.86)
The Middle East and North Africa region saw its accident rate fall significantly to 0.72 (compared to 3.32 in 2009) with only one accident involving a carrier from the region
Latin America & the Caribbean reported a higher accident rate of 1.87 with four airlines from the region involved in accidents, compared with a zero accident rate in 2009
Africa had an accident rate of 7.41, which was lower than the 2009 rate of 9.94. While showing improvement, Africa once again has the worst rate in the world. There were four Western-built jet hull losses with African carriers in 2010. African carriers are 2% of global traffic, but 23% of global western-built jet hull losses.
Safety in Africa
You would also have to look at where those aircraft are being built (think safety features and levels of automation):
Tokyo, 23 February 2011, The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced the aviation safety performance for 2010 showing that the year’s accident rate for Western-built jet aircraft as the lowest in aviation history.
The 2010 global accident rate (measured in hull losses per million flights of Western-built jet aircraft) was 0.61. That is equal to one accident for every 1.6 million flights. This is a significant improvement of the 0.71 rate recorded in 2009 (one accident for 1.4 million flights). The 2010 rate was the lowest in aviation history, just below the 2006 rate of 0.65. Compared to 10 years ago, the accident rate has been cut 42% from the rate recorded in 2001. A hull loss is an accident in which the aircraft is destroyed or substantially damaged and is not subsequently repaired.
“Safety is the number one priority. Achieving the lowest accident rate in the history of aviation shows that this commitment is bearing results. Flying is safe. But every fatality is a human tragedy that reminds us of the ultimate goal of zero accidents and zero fatalities. We must remain focused and determined to move closer to this goal year by year,” said Giovanni Bisignani, IATA’s Director General and CEO.
In absolute numbers, 2010 saw the following results:
2.4 billion people flew safely on 36.8 million flights (28.4 million jet, 8.4 million turboprop)
17 hull loss accidents involving western-built jet aircraft compared to 19 in 2009
94 accidents (all aircraft types, Eastern and Western built) compared to 90 in 2009
In the end - MUCH of safety comes down to the quality of the equipment and the QUALITY training/standardization and checking/supervision involved.
USMCFLYR