Originally Posted by
Timbo
If they did get more 777's, I think they would only be as replacements to the 747's. So WATCH OUT, remember, they can get 3 more RJ's with every new mainline airplane, BUT...the numbers do NOT work in reverse, so if after they increase the mainline, and then RJ fleets, they then park the 747's (oil's getting pretty high) the RJ numbers do NOT need to decrease....do they?

Originally Posted by
Timbo
Thanks for trying to clear that up VPR and BB.
BB, your very last sentence is the part that bothers me...
You KNOW those 747's are not long for this world if the price of oil keeps going up up up. So in the next two years or so, let's say they do increase the mainline fleet size, (add 717's, maybe some of AA's used 777's) and work another LOA to get ever more 76 seat RJ's...and THEN they start parking the 747's...yet the RJ fleet remains, in greater numbers than before.
Yeah...that's the ticket.
We were still flying 747's at $148 a barrel. They carry lots of cargo and have a low CASM. I don't think they're going anywhere for at least 8 years regardless of the price of oil. JMHO.
Last edited by johnso29; 03-27-2012 at 12:40 PM.