Originally Posted by
Wingtips
I saw in the APA brief that the union is testifying in court that the 1113 would result in 1400 extra pilots at AA, not 300 like they said. I would be very worried if I were the bottom 1500 at AA.
I see you're ratcheting up your flamebait from your previous posts that the bottom 1000 should be "very, very scared". I suppose the extra 100 pilots above the testimony is simply a little cherry for yourself in the giggity department, eh sister ?
I understand they were forced to admit their projections were innaccurate based on old calculations. It seems their statements change more often then the weather. What was said from what I understand was that that projection of 1420 pilots overmanned didn't necessarily mean that many would be "discharged". Under that statement, by the end of 2013 there will be at least 300 retirements and possibly twice that and that along with the new FT/DT changes would result in about 400 pilots too many, hence that furlough projection.
Two new fleet types coming (A319,787) and a training bubble is also needed. Actually too many variables to make ANY furlough projections yet (especially that far out), but they had to cut summer flying down due to low staffing not being able to accomodate unplanned absences and maximum usage of vacation blocks being that it's summer. It's one of the MAJOR reasons Parker's plan is far more attractive then AMR's, i.e., no furloughs. Actually, the 1113 ruling date has been pushed back to June 22 from June 6 and judge Lane has requested mediated negotiations by another judge to hammer out an agreement. I think ALL parties agree that a negotiated settlement is better then an imposed 1113 and the various undesirable consequences that could possibly result of that. You can rest assured that the #1 priority will be SCOPE and the size and number of SNB (Small Narrow-Body) jets (AKA large RJ's) that will be allowed for AA feeders/code-sharing. At the very least, limiting size to no more then 76-seats (with limits on number). Allowing AMR (or U) the flexibilty to place what is allowed at any carrier of course, is up to them.
Hundreds of 64-seat CRJ-700 types and many 76-seaters (CRJ-900/E-175's) may be coming to AMR/U, but Eagle might only see half those (and thus shrink accordingly).
If Parker runs the merge, most of Eagle might not even make the program card with AA and that would be even worse for certain ruby-throated flamebaiters chirping away on this forum. Thus, if I was a relatively junior Eagle F/O, I'd be very worried about the future myself.
