Feel free to correct me or adjust to your circumstances, I've been doing some math (Warning! M.I.P.)

I am a 5th year MD-88 FO.

IF I agree to this TA, (or it passes without my agreement) I am trying to envision the worst - relative to current contract - case and how badly I might regret it with regards to future income.

(Worst case in reality, of course, is I get furloughed, but since this agreement would make that slightly less likely the RELATIVE impact would be that I would have been better off with this agreement in the event furloughs loom and if I get the axe anyway I would have made a few dollars more, so that's not relatively worse.)

Worst case (relatively), I would get MD'd from MD88B to the new 717B category giving up the 4% raise in the process. So then I'm getting 8/3/3 instead of 0/0/0, but the company will then make (worst relative case) $2.5B and I've just signed away 1/3 of my share of that (BOE math: last year's $1B was 5% of pay, so 2.5x would have been 12.5%, but is now 8.3, thus I've given up over one half of my 8% raise, so I'm at 3.8/3/3 (BEFORE inflation)

Then add in the extra 1% DC contribution in 2014, so my 2015 lookback non-inflation adjusted pay rate would have been increased by (0)/3.8/4/3

Higher ALV/TLV for line-holders (in addition to extra work required) will add about 1% to annual pay (77.5 ALV vs. 76.5). Higher reserve guarantee (in addition to extra days on LC and SC) will add about 7% (my guesstimate)

That's also not adjusted for the new 4+30 daily minimum on non-productive days (unknown how many affected pairings will remain in bid packages), someone mentioned that the true impact wouldn't be on pay but on possibly extra days off, or offsetting of extra day on required by higher ALV.

If we don't vote it in, we get 0/0/0 but keep the 12.5% profit-sharing next year (when company is predicted to make 2.5B, per wall street analysts). Or 0% if we make nothing, of course.

Am I missing anything pay-related? If not, the above math makes me a no vote, and I'll be looking for employment elsewhere with better chances of advancement.
(This post is intentionally scope-ignorant)