Originally Posted by
flyallnite
That's another big myth about this TA that is being sold to us. Mark my words, this thing passes and you'll see a big displacement bid at the end of the summer. Here's why....:
The early retirement scheme sounds great right? All that movement off the top will really pull us up the list... not so fast!
If you read the language, the program terminates as soon as ANY ONE CATEGORY reaches critical staffing levels. Guess what? That language is there for a reason. Right now, the 747 is overstaffed. They will allow maybe 100 high paid guys off of that thing and then the whole program stops for good.
So IF you were right, number 100 on the whale is number 695 on the seniority list. That means they have to offer the package to at least 595 other guys, and that's assuming that every single whale guy from 1-100 in the category took the buyout. The junior whale guy is number 2061. It has to be offered to each pilot in seniority order, and management has to prove they can't train replacements for the critical category by June 30, 2013.
Originally Posted by
scambo1
You can choose to believe whatever you want, but you poison the (reasoning) pool if you put your hope and theory out there as fact.