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Old 05-29-2012 | 07:24 AM
  #68  
Sink r8
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Joined: Jun 2009
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Zoomie does have point: I used the term "trolling" incorrectly.

As gor the others calling me an idiot for suggesting it's possible to continue trading 76-seaters, as long as we follow the trend of reducing mainline (an unpopular idea to be sure), I'd suggest you're fighting the last battle. Poorly.

I think pilot requirements, and excluded technology will serve to mitigate the least important end of the battle on Scope.

Basically, the RJ is a grievous mistake made in the past. It's crucial not to allow larger airplanes, which this TA doesn't do. Controlling the mix would be great, but it's not the most important problem in front of us. If the next contract cut 100 total DCI aircraft, at the cost of 25 conversions to 76-seaters, and it required, for example, an order of 50 more at mainline, and yielded better ratios(IOW if it continued the pattern of this TA), I would consider it another Scope gain.

I think the next contract will probably be less about Scope gains than economics. If anything, it will be about large-gauge Scope. The only thing that will be important on the small end will to keep the limit at 76-seats, and no geared turbofans.

To Zoomie's point, no new permitted types were added, and this TA doesn't force them to accept upgauged regionals, anymore than USAirways forced us to accept EMB 190's.