Originally Posted by
sailingfun
Your assuming a lot with those numbers. The 50 seater is not dead. If the company puts the engine money into those aircraft there might extend those leases. My understanding is that 311 of the airframes are tied up until 2020. So overnight they are going to dump 200 airframes with no replacement. Not likely. Its far more likely that a lot of those aircraft would be replaced or released.
Read my previous post to show your numbers are off. You also make an assumption that the company will dump millions into an unprofitable old airplane. Odds favor mine.