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Old 06-02-2012 | 02:38 PM
  #257  
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DAL73n
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From: 737n/FO
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot
You option (B) is the one one that the ratios are based on as I understand it. 1.59-1 is the top end and we are planned (slowplay's number) to be at 1.76-1. That adds a min of 600-700 jobs with a top end of 1100. As I said in the other thread, those jobs are the initial accumulator until section 1 language is triggered and DCI is even forced to park 50's or 76 seat jets(their choice)

All "known" fleet replacement plans are part of the ratios, but as I understand it, the 717 IS NOT. The ratios get to the top end compliance with DCI 50's being parked.

George and you have proven how the same block hr plan will get us to 1.59-1 with no mainline block hr growth. The compliance will come quicker due to the tables and contract checkpoints that force 717's to be delivered to get more 76 seat jets,but the end result is not 1.59-1, but 1.76 to one when everything is considered; 717, 50's parked, 76 seat aircraft added, 767's,757's,m88's,dc9's, and 320 retirements.

My math showed a mainline fleet count of about 770 or as you show 647 domestic jets. The math works and gets us to about where we were at SOC, abet on lower paying jets. Again the planned ratio puts us well above 1.59-1(1.76-1) meaning that if the economy goes south not of the triggers to pulldown DCI, nor the non compliance language(my concern) apply, until mainline domestic shrinks by 17 basis points from 1.76-1 to 1.59-1. The new hires brought in below us are the first accumulator. Then depending on what the trigger was(euro zone debt crisis which caused the economy; apply w/ the non compliance language?) DCI can or cannot be shrunk in relation to our capacity restriction.
ACL

You and FTB have the nail on the head with the flaw in the ration PROTECTION LANGUAGE. Everyone seems to think the ratios will require main line growth to keep up with DCI. Everyone (especially the MEC and LEC reps selling this TA) seems to forget that the ratios can be easily met by shrinking DCI with the retired 50s and the new 76 seaters. In addition, the 300 jobs lost are only an estimate of the new work rules and I believe the company will make much better use of the new work rules to prevent any new hiring and in fact will result in more displacement bids from higher paying A/C (everything at DAL main line) to lower paying A/C (717s) - this is another pay cut that no one is talking about.