Originally Posted by
slowplay
My prediction: APA will negotiate an agreement with AMR management prior to June 22. That will buy them time. If they go to June 22 without an agreement it is my view their contract will be rejected. Look at the history over the last decade...judges throw out contracts and don't take the union side.
AMR management has conditional exclusivity...so the creditors can pull down AMR managements exclusive rights prior to September. The 3 unions only need to get 2 more creditors on board to derail management's plans. That's a tough business case to make in front of folks that want more of the pie, but at least they have a shot.
I'm thinking they only need one more vote since the PBGC is on the creditor's board and has already filed motions against AMR dumping their pensions.