Oh, we don't THINK they'll won't park the DC-9's, they'll need the lift.

Where have I heard that before...

That said:

The interesting thing about TA/NO TA with regards to NB scope:

No TA:

No cap on 50 seats, but economics is driving to park them
102 70 seaters
153 76 seaters.

By taking 34 aircraft, of ANY type, the company can convert all the 70s to 76 seaters.

255 70+ seat jets.

TA Passes
223 76 seaters
102 70 seaters

325 70+ seat jets

But the company can only get the additional 76 seaters if they take all 88 717s (or 319s), which will drive the block hour ratio to 1.7Xish.

AFTER the company gets all of the 717s/319s, they can turn around and park 767 domestics and smaller aircraft back down to a BHL of 1.56, which would be about 40 aircraft above what we have now.

That sound right? How is that not a pump and dump? They're not getting 70 more 76 seaters in exchange for 88 seat NBs, they're getting 70 more 76 seaters in exchange for 40 NB aircraft, AND getting to keep the 102 70 seaters they already have.

Nu