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Old 06-25-2012 | 03:27 PM
  #104  
Dorfman
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Joined: May 2012
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Originally Posted by forgot to bid
Mainline has to increase beyond 52 frames, beyond 767 total, to trigger the 3:1. Then for every new mainline jet, DCI gets to replace 3 70-seaters with 3 76 seaters. So once we hit 767 they still have 153 76ers, to get enough to replace all 102 70ers the company would have to add another 34 airframes or 86 more than we have now.

Once that happens, with 100 50seaters dropped, the DCI fleet (498/255) loses -3,958 seats vs the TA's -5,580 seats for 450/325. The best part there is the jumbo RJs are still capped at 255 vs 325 under the PWA and DAL has 86 new mainline jets gaining 930ish pilots.

We'd have 67% of the flying and could celebrate a big jump in MBH of 42% over 2011 numbers. Unfortunately dont think that would happen but it'd be something I'd prefer.

However in your scenerio the company could park 200 airplanes with no airplanes to replace them after the 86 show up and not have to do anything to the DCI fleet.

I am still very underwhelmed but I am starting to lean towards yes. I do not like everything about the scope but the ratios are a start. The fact of the matter is they can get the same or more 76 seat aircraft now with no downside protections. However in this deal they do get to keep the 70 seaters.