While I don't put much stock in "The Manager", it was overheard in the ATL crew room directly from an ALPA type that he expects it to pass 55/45 or there abouts.
That puts a no vote just possible on the outside of the margin of error, but he also may be viewing it from a ATL perspective. There wasn't any kind of official polling information mentioned, so it may have just been a WAG on his part.
My own straw poll shows failing 60/40, BUT, thats a non-ATL perspective, which is subject to the same kind of error.
Nu