Originally Posted by alfaromeo

Wow, that was sure some scary analysis for a hypothetical example. I mean let's not try to stay within the bounds of possibilities let's see if we can come up with the stupidest example possible and then try to scare pilots who don't understand your subtle complexities. Can you give one valid reason why reserve flying would increase by 80% from winter to summer? The current shift is 2%. The current change in block hours is 13%. Remember there are many other things the company does to deal with that shift including limiting vacation weeks available, decreasing training, and changing the ALV. How in the world did you come up with 80%?

I mean hypothetically, if this TA fails, Delta could buy 1,000 RJ-50's and 1,000 Q-400's and shut down the mainline domestic fleet. So why shouldn't I make some slide showing the hypothetical staffing for mainline getting cut by 2/3. That wouldn't be any different than your slide would it? I mean it's possible right?

Hypothetically, I could hit a home run every time I went to bat in a major league game. I can pick up a bat, I can jog around 4 bases, I can swing the bat with enough force to hit it over the fence. So what is the possibility that I could hit 500 home runs next year in the major leagues? How about even 1? How about that I could even get one base hit? That is the difference between hypothetically and possibility.

Your slide was so completely at odds with reality that it is nothing more than a scare tactic. Since there is only a 1 or 2% drop in reserve hours flown from summer to winter, what your slide should show is guys flying 90 hours per month in the summer and then averaging flying 88 hours the rest of the year. Now, how does that average out to 60 hours.

So in some mythical, hypothetical world where airplanes run on cotton candy, yes your scenario averages out to 60. In the real world where real constraints exist, your slide is nothing but propaganda. Propaganda that has no basis in fact, no basis in reality, no statistical backing. It is just a made up scare tactic and it is just a complete fabrication.

The title of your slide is:

"Staffing Formula Won't Prevent Loss of Jobs from ALV and Work Rule Changes".

That is just a lie. That has no basis in reality. This is just one example of how you try to present yourself as some teller of truth with insight and analysis. Instead you are just a propaganda artist that is trying to sway votes through deception.