NWA,
The pay at the regionals would have to come up substantially to staff at our current levels, for the next decade. The ATP minimums haven't even gone into full effect and those of us that are hiring, have to get a good percent of new hires from other shrinking regionals. Once pilots start leaving the regionals to the majors and the ATP minimums come into full effect, you will see the contraction at the regional level due to lack of pilots.
The pilot shortage you allude to is only due to our low compensation at the regionals. We will not be raising it to what is needed to cover the impending attrition. Your vote is over, so you'll have to live with your results either way. If you vote it in, you will realize your lost leverage in about 2-3 years.