Originally Posted by
AA gear puller
Here is my take on what's about to happen.
1. Lane allows AMR to dump the pilot contract. AMR in typical school yard bully fashion threatens us with nuclear war unless we approve a last ditch proposal.
2. APA membership rejects.
3. December exclusivity deadline looms with AMR management increasingly desperate.
4. A. Lane grants AMR motion to extend exclusivity for the full 18months, where all the stops are pulled to get us to agree to something so they can field a POR.
Or.
B. Lane terminates exclusivity and Parker is allowed to present a POR with APA on board with a CLA in place. A LCC takeover is then a real possibility.
AA claims to want to exit BK as an independent. APA knows that we cannot get a Delta style contract while in bankrupcy. Therefore, in my opinion, the idea is to try and hold out with the 1113 in place in the HOPE that AMR will be able to exit and then immediately enter in to section 6.
AA can't take delivery of the 787 without an agreement ( or so I'm told).. There are a lot of variables coming in to play that is granting us leverage we have never before had. If we do a serious gut check and hold the line I think there is some serious short term pain on the horizon with some long term gain around the corner.
Clear as mud?
I consider 1. highly likely. 2. would require another capitulation by the new APA president and BOD which would result in bedlam if any such NLBFO (New Last, Best Final Offer) was another sub-standard bill-of-goods devoid of final language and littered with gaping holes for abuse. At that point, the whole process might collapse while blanket recalls occurred and an entire new representational structure was rebuilt. That could take months.
At that point 3. would almost certainly come and go and then yes, the creditors would have to decide whether to stick with the limping can-kickers or try a new tack. At any rate, I think it prudent that the pilots should expect AMR to make good on their threats of uncertainty and pain. Most aboard should plan on no life for awhile and those junior should prepare for the possibility of no paycheck.
Personally, I wouldn't be surprised if they played the nuclear option of the threat of fragmentation should the pilots not capitulate to their demands. The concept of using terror and fear against the pilots has been in play and that may escalate. Nothing should surprise AA pilots at this point.