Originally Posted by
rickt86
If AA hired Eagle would be fairly junior fast. Also AA could be adding almost 150 new airplanes to their feed (which AA wont hire for a long long time), however if they do thats a good chunk of flying. Add in Eagles planes of 250 and there are lucrative deals. I am just playing what IFs. I think Eagle will end up with 200 70-90 seat airplanes over the next 5 years, and 150 other airplanes will get bid out, mainly lower cost 50 sear jets. With attrition the furloughing maybe light. Its such a fluid industry its really hard to tell. However saying Eagle is doomed to be shutdown is a huge assumption.
It's uncertain, management will do what they want, the law gives them a lot of wiggle room and support. What will they outsource is yet to be seen, I don't know how junior would get overnight since most of the senior captain are not going anywhere. But if AMR was to build Eagle for the long term, lets say towards the latter part of the decade Eagle would be a junior pilot group as many of the senior folks would be gone via retirement and most of the rest to greener pastures. The problem is that management is short sided and only care about the short term for the most part, they as well as investors are looking for the short term cash. It seems that Eagle is being setup to be a viable company for the long term (industry standards) but if the situation arises where they are able to obtain a faster pay out don't count on them hesitating. They will step on anyone on their way to the highest yield, but in this instance AMR is a very controlling culture and Eagle as a wholly own might be the highest yield/money shelter!