Originally Posted by
rickt86
No I am just playing a stand alone AA. I think if USAIR does not get to take over, that AA may still pass on USAIR post BK.
I never said Eagle will fly 375 RJS, I think 250, but we basically have 250 airplanes now. I am saying with scope relief 125 more RJs are coming under the AA RJ brand. Until 125 airplanes worth of non AMR EAGLE contracts are in place we are still not completely doomed. I think there might be pain in all this, however this doom/gloom is still a maybe, and needs to be seen. We could still have 250 airplanes between CRJ700/900s and EMJ145s in the course of the next 1-3 years.
I've never implied the temporary American Eagle is doomed. How many aircraft the temporary Eagle flies is yet to be seen. The cheaper you're willing to go the more you'll get. But read the Eaglewire carefully. DG states that to be in "a position" to be able to bid on future flying, you'll need to acquiesce to their demands. You'll get a good portion of it IMO, but not as much as you think.
Originally Posted by
rick86
You want to come in here and point your finger saying look look I told ya they will bid out what Eagle is flying,
but I am not sure this is going to be at AMR Eagles expense, I think this is at AAs expense. I still think Eagle may shuffle into other flying, as bigger RJs are coming. This is AA flying being lost. This is what AMR will do, take a little from the AA guys at a rate slow enough that they dont go bonkers enough to do what the company is afraid they will.
Sure, a LOT of that future flying will be at our expense, but also yours. We'll both be shrinking if you ask me. Your attrition will not likely be from the top either as for the next few years at least, there will be no where to go for most senior who won't do any better then they are now.
BTW, we already are bonkers, but it may not present itself in a manner you expect. We have a lot of legal and strategic cards to play yet.