Originally Posted by
eaglefly
Which means ?
This transportation "model" has a limited lifespan. They can't raise compensation that much considering the smaller aircraft cannot support that due to less revenue generated as the costs would exceed that of the majors. Independent regionals won't be able to sustain that and majors won't pay for it.
This flying will have to ultimately be blended into the majors, but that means most regional pilots will be no better off in that time frame as is the best outcome, they'll be at the bottom of a major seniority list and mostly all F/O's on junior equipment in the $40-60/hour range. Thus, the overwhelming majority of regional pilots are making as much or more now then they will for many, many years while this reality shakes itself out over the next 4-8 years.
I agree with this assessment. I will also add, all current negotiations include provisions for increased productivity from pilots and flexibility with schedules. I have heard the term "pseudo reserve" used. QOL is taking huge hits, especially as commuting becomes much more difficult and work weeks get longer.
I don't believe the "pilot shortage" will help in achieving any real gains in pay or QOL enhancements, but shifts in labor allocation.
My biggest hope now is to position myself to take advantage of overseas contract to cash out and get out. I don't see a single carrier as a career job anymore.