Lots of misinformation on this thread. Here is how I see it.

Current book: unlimited RJs up to 70 seats limited to 100% of Mainline block hours (A319s - 747s). The Scope Q&A puts our current RJ block hours at 78% of Mainline block hours, meaning growth of 22% in RJ block hours is possible under current book.

TA: RJ block hours limited to 120% of Narrow-body block hours......(A319 - B-757). The Scope Q&A puts our current RJ block hours at 112% of Narrow-body block hours, meaning growth of 8% in RJ block hours is possible. Not 22% as in current book.

255 is hard cap for 70+76 seat aircraft (including turbo-props) IF the company chooses NOT to add 100 seat mainline aircraft. According to the July 2012 Investor Update on UAL's website, we have 115 CRJ700s and 38 EMB170s already, add the Qs and they can add roughly 80 jets to the RJ fleet. BUT, they still must comply with the 120% of n/b block hours! Meaning they will have to park older RJs to reach that 255 (70+76) number. They are only 8% below the cap today.

This 255 is a HARD CAP of Large RJs and TPs (70+76 seaters) UNLESS the company buys 100 seat mainline aircraft! That is the key. 130 of that 255 can be 76 seaters until Jan 2016. Then 153 of that 255 can be 76 seaters. But the 255 does not change UNLESS UAL BUYS AND FLYS 100 SEATERS. If you believe that the 50 seater is dead, then 255 could eventually be the max number of UAX aircraft in the fleet. Down from over 550 today!!!

IF UAL chooses to buy 100 seat mainline aircraft, then just like the DAL scope, Larger RJs may increase proportionately. This option mandates that the 120% of n/b block hour limitation decreases, and the number of 50 seaters decreases. It is on a scale, but if UAL wants to increase that 255 number all the way to a max of 325 with up to 223 76 seaters, they will have to buy 88 100-seaters (1:1.25 ratio), the percent of n/b block hours will have to decrease to a max of 68% (from 120%) and the number of 50 seaters decreases by a formula for each 76 seat aircraft added above 153. If these numbers sound familiar, it is because it is the DAL scope language almost to the letter.

There are also other protections: hub to hub and distance, but this is the meat. This is my understanding only, backed by questions I have had answered by my Reps. I would appreciate ANY feedback. I cannot see how this is not better than current book.

Sled