Truthfully, there is absolutely no way to answer this. If NOTHING changed, then yes, that's reasonable. But something will change.

As we speak certain regionals are collapsing or have just went under. Often you have no way of predicting which will do this. You could just as easily find yourself as a line holding captain making $75k as you could find yourself furloughed with zero PIC starting at your third regional. Food for thought.

Good luck. That's 50% of it.