Originally Posted by
9easy
"66% will be unemployed" is uniformed hyperbole.
No airframes (besides the ATL frames that are already gone) will be removed until August 2013. By then we will have lost another 500 pilots.
When the 200's start to go, 900's will come at a 1/4 ratio. During the 18 months the 200's leave, we will lose about 6 frames per month, which is about 50 crewmembers per month. We currently have attrition at the same level. By 2015, it's very likely that there will be about 1000 9E pilots, but in 18 months we will naturally lose 1000+ pilots. Furloughs will continue to be minimal for those who want to stay or can't leave.
So your saying the bottom 66% will furlough themself into unemployment? Because nobody is hiring. Market's flooded with ComAir pilots. Maybe as the airline crumbles pilots will get jobs at Walmart. I can see that.
Where are you getting 1,000 9E pilots? Staffing of 5 crews per plane. 10 pilots per plane. 81 planes = 810 pilots. Simple.