Originally Posted by vilcas

The majors will be hiring over the next couple of years and then the hiring will be going up year over year for 10 years. People keep thinking that 65% will furloughed. That would never be the case since they are keeping about 1100 pilots to fly 81 CRJ900's. The remaining 1300 pilots would only be furloughed if there was 0 movement between Aug 2013-2015 (Time frame for wind down). This is not likely. Whats more likely is that between now and 2015, 1500 pilots will leave. Will the movement be from the top, probably not most will be from the middle and probably from the bottom. The fact is that this TA not passing will speed up the 200's leaving and the 900's will leave. This will ensure that sometime in 2014 everyone is gone and that will guarantee that probably as many as 70% of the group will get furloughed. Take a deep breath and vote logically not emotionally.