Originally Posted by
Scoop
Jack,
I think you are mostly correct. Reserves will be flying their tails off in the high volume (Summer/spring break) months, but mostly sitting on their tails during the down times.
One of the main themes of our new contract was increasing the ability of the company to work the heavy months with fewer guys - this will result in what you say for the summer months but I dont think it will be too bad in the off months.
Scoop
It shouldn't be bad in the off months, however, if they reduce reserves in the off months then those who thought they'd be senior reserves in the off months will be surprised to find themselves a lot more junior than planned. And therefore flying a lot more than they thought if they went in thinking "I'll take a month off!"
I mean looking at February on my category, the lowly 88B category, they hacked off 20% of the reserves from January so the top 30% on reserve are 2001 hires or earlier. Middle 35%+ are 2007 hires, last 35% or so are 2008 and after hires. I bet the middle 35% (30%-65%) did not think they'd be in the middle because a year ago they were top 5%.
I bet if they get more and more 0 RAW 0 hours kind of guys then they know, hey, we're overstaffed on reserve, let's fix that.