Originally Posted by
thomas39
So are you suggesting RA and others were not telling the truth or whole truth to investors in that webcast? Only time and the next couple of AEs will tell. Adding airframes doesn't guarantee growth when they are/will/maybe displace from several other fleets to staff the new one.
Not trying to start a fight, I am (like everyone) seeking the honest truth about what Delta's plans are for seniority movement. Either up or down I wish their projections would actually come close to reality down the road.
Remember what ALPA put out in their contract negotiators notepad FAQ June 11, 2012?
Q2 Is it true that, if approved, this TA will cost hundreds of Delta pilot jobs?
A2 No. This assertion is based on a simplistic and incomplete analysis of the TA. Changes to the ALV, TLV and the change in bid period length will likely result in a contractual staffing reduction of approximately 300 pilots. However, the Pilot Retirement Medical Account Program and other changes to the PWA such as the increases to the staffing formula and to vacation and CQ training pay are expected to more than compensate for this reduction. In fact, with the ratification of this TA, Flight Operations has recently stated, “If Delta can continue to execute its business plan, including the 717s, and barring an economic downturn or other unanticipated event, we could begin the hiring process as early as the last quarter of this year.”
Last quarter 2012. That was what we knew in June. Somehow it ended up like this in Nov/Dec: No plans for hiring at all in 2013. So what changed? We didn't experience an "economic downturn or other unanticipated event" did we?
I hope you are right and we do actually grow to staff the 717, not by displacing other categories and further capacity reductions.
I know from past post you understand what has happened. If you read what you posted again it talks about the changes in the contract and how there were offsets to sections that decreased jobs. The company has so far done every thing they hinted at if the contract was ratified except hire some pilots this winter. Note they said start the process not hire in 2012. Hiring was always planned for 2013.
There were 2 things that changed. The ER program did not produce the upfront number of pilots hoped for however overall it is better for the pilot group since the pilots who went were much younger then the targeted group. The second was a large number of pilots returning from Mil Leave. 130 to 140 were the last numbers I heard with more each month. Even with both those items flight ops still wanted to hire but did not get funding. They now plan to start the process this fall for classes next winter. The end result for pilot advancement 3 years from now will be exactly what was stated upfront if not a bit better with the younger ER participants.